SFGate: Airlines change direction - plan cuts, not consolidation/Wobbly economy, high fuel costs force carriers to rethink strategies

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Wednesday, March 19, 2008 (SF Chronicle)
Airlines change direction - plan cuts, not consolidation/Wobbly economy, hi=
gh fuel costs force carriers to rethink strategies
David Koenig, Associated Press


   (03-19) 04:00 PDT Dallas --
   Airline executives say worries about recession, high fuel prices and
tighter credit seem to have cooled the consolidation fever that gripped
the industry a few weeks ago.
   Instead, they turned their comments Tuesday toward cutting costs and
reducing flights, which could give them more power to raise fares.
   Delta Air Lines Inc. set the tone by offering buyouts to 30,000 employees
- more than half its workforce - as the likelihood of a deal with
Northwest Airlines Corp. faded.
   Executives at other carriers also talked about controlling costs and
raising fares while planes are still very full.
   "Demand is still pretty good," said Jeff Misner, the chief financial
officer of Continental Airlines Inc. "The problem we've got is we're not
covering the cost of fuel right now ... we can't get the prices up fast
enough to cover that."
   Continental expects its 2008 fuel bill to be $1.5 billion or more higher
than last year, or about three times its profit for all of 2007.
   United Airlines says it faces a $1.2 billion increase in fuel costs, Del=
ta
expects to pay $900 million more, and Northwest is budgeting an extra $800
million.
   In response, the carriers are considering reducing flights to save money
and perhaps drive up fares. Led by United, part of UAL Corp., the carriers
raised fares by up to $50 per round trip last week and some now charge $25
extra for checking a second piece of luggage.
   JetBlue Airways Corp., meanwhile, hopes to boost revenue by rolling out a
program to charge passengers extra for additional legroom, Chief Executive
Officer David Barger said.
   Delta said Tuesday that it would reduce its flying by 5 percent.
   United plans to ground about 4 percent of its fleet, or up to 20 older
Boeing 737s that get poor mileage, Chief Financial Officer Jake Brace said
at a JPMorgan conference in New York. He said it didn't make sense to fly
those jets at current fuel prices.
   Executives from Northwest and American Airlines, the nation's largest
carrier, said they too were considering cutting capacity, with
announcements possible next month.
   "The silver lining of oil at a high price: It's stripping capacity out,"
Barger said.
   Even Southwest Airlines Co. might reduce flying. And it is better
insulated from high fuel prices than other U.S. carriers because of
financial transactions made several years ago that will let it buy 70
percent of its fuel this year at the equivalent price of $51 per barrel of
oil - less than half the current rate.
   Southwest values those hedges at more than $3 billion over the next few
years.
   Several executives said industry consolidation now appeared less likely
than a few weeks ago. They were speaking a day after Delta pilots created
fresh doubt about a possible Delta hookup with Northwest.
   Union leaders at Delta said talks on combining workforces with another
carrier had failed. They didn't mention Northwest by name, but people
close to the talks have said Northwest was the other player in deal talks. =
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Copyright 2008 SF Chronicle

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