SFGate: Averting gridlock at Bay Area airports/By 2025, SFO's passenger traffic will grow 57 to 60 percent, Oakland's 80 percent and San Jose's 100 percent.

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Saturday, August 4, 2007 (SF Chronicle)
Averting gridlock at Bay Area airports/By 2025, SFO's passenger traffic wil=
l grow 57 to 60 percent, Oakland's 80 percent and San Jose's 100 percent.
David Armstrong, Chronicle Staff Writer


   Last year was the worst year in U.S. aviation history for flight delays
and cancellations, and things will only get worse unless local governments
and the nation's airports take steps to ease congestion, according to the
Federal Aviation Administration.
   To that end, the FAA has given a $585,000 grant to the Metropolitan
Transportation Commission, a Bay Area regional government agency, to study
ways to avoid airport gridlock. Without reconfiguring Bay Area airports
and integrating them more thoroughly into the regional and national
transportation system, years of travel pain await, the agency said.
   "We expect the number of air passengers to ramp up dramatically in the
future," said Kirk Shaffer, the FAA's associate administrator for
airports.
   He projected that by 2025, San Francisco International's passenger traff=
ic
will grow 57 to 60 percent, Oakland International's 80 percent and San
Jose International's 100 percent.
   Given the extent of the challenge, "all options are on the table," Shaff=
er
said at a press conference at SFO on Friday. Those options include basing
many small, private aircraft at smaller, regional airfields instead of at
major airports, improving and expanding the Bay Area's three major
airports, and even running high-speed rail service between the Bay Area
and Los Angeles.
   "This is the first time the FAA has provided funding for study of
nonaviation modes of transportation," Shaffer said.
   The Metropolitan Transportation Commission will work closely with the
Association of Bay Area Governments, the Bay Conservation and Development
Commission and local governments to come up with regional solutions, said
Steve Heminger, executive director of MTC.
   Research on overhauling the area's transportation is already under way,
according to Heminger, who said the infusion of funds from the FAA will
help Bay Area authorities wind up their study in about a year. The study
will conclude by offering specific recommendations for change, he said.
   Airport expansion has proven to be a thorny political issue in the recent
past, especially an aborted SFO plan to build two new runways on bay fill,
which raised the ire of environmentalists. SFO Airport Director John
Martin said the broad scope of the new study is designed to come up with
solutions to congestion without having to build runways in the bay.
   "I am optimistic," Martin said. "Using technology, we can become more
efficient. By using high-speed rail, we could reduce the number of people
taking short-haul flights within California by 20 percent. "
   Martin also said persuading airlines to use fewer, larger aircraft could
also lessen congestion at Bay Area airports, improve airline on-time
performance and reduce the risk of accidents. SFO, Northern California's
largest airport, has about 1,000 regularly scheduled commercial flights a
day.
   Martin acknowledged that persuading airlines to use larger planes could =
be
a challenge. Most U.S. air carriers, cash-strapped in the years after the
Sept. 11 attacks and recession early this decade, exchanged jumbo jets for
smaller planes they knew they could fill.
   Airline economics may have dictated that change, Martin said. "But the
economics at SFO are exactly the opposite."
   The airport will initiate discussions with airlines in an attempt to
persuade carriers to go back to larger planes to increase their on-time
departures and arrivals, he said.
   Ultimately, the nation's entire air travel system needs to be upgraded,
according to the FAA's Shaffer, who said gridlock faces not only the Bay
Area, but also the big East Coast airports in New York, Newark and
Philadelphia, airports in the Los Angeles basin and ultimately the San
Diego, Phoenix, Miami, Chicago and Atlanta markets.

   E-mail David Armstrong at davidarmstrong@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx --------------=
--------------------------------------------------------
Copyright 2007 SF Chronicle

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