Boeing in the Catbird Seat

[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

 



 By Ted =
Reed<http://apps.thestreet.com/cms/email/tscEmailStory.do?storyId=3D10324=
991&authorId=3D1101023&storyUrl=3D/newsanalysis/transportation/10324991.h=
tml>
TheStreet.com Staff Reporter

Boeing in the Catbird Seat
Not only is the company's stock soaring and its order book full, it now =
finds itself in an opportune position as chairman of the creditors' =
committee for bankrupt Delta Air Lines the creditors' committee will =
likely make the ultimate decision on the airline's future.=20
For Boeing, "It's Monty Hall and 'Let's Make a Deal,'" said Scott =
Hamilton, who publishes an online newsletter about Airbus and Boeing. =
For the longer term, if US Airways succeeds in acquiring Delta through a =
hostile takeover, a round of aircraft buying could result, further =
benefiting Boeing as well as rival Airbus.=20

In the US Airways bankruptcy that preceded a 2005 merger with America =
West Airlines, Airbus was chairman of the creditors' committee. As part =
of its effort to gain creditor support for the deal and to get a $250 =
million loan from Airbus, America West placed an order for 20 of Airbus' =
A350s.=20

But that was then. The new US Airways could cancel the A350 order, given =
the unanticipated delay in filling it, and commit to buying new Boeing =
aircraft in an effort to gain support for a Delta takeover, Hamilton =
said.=20

Boeing Capital, a Boeing subsidiary that arranges financing for aircraft =
orders, holds $81 million in Delta equipment trust certificates, secured =
by aircraft, said spokeswoman Donna Mikov. Additionally, the unit holds =
a claim based on unfilled orders for 57 of its 737-800s and five =
extended-range 777-200s. Mikov declined to provide a value for the =
aircraft order. I think Boeing's inclination will be to favor whoever =
can give them the highest number of airplane orders going forward," =
Hamilton said. "I think it will be a cold, hard business decision."=20

US Airways has a mainline fleet of 359 aircraft, including 196 Airbus =
narrowbodies from the A320 family as well as nine A330s. Nevertheless, =
US Airways executives have made the case that they are not bound to =
Airbus.=20

"I wouldn't characterize us as being in the Airbus camp today," said =
President Scott Kirby, during the Nov. 15 analyst conference following =
the announcement of the takeover bid. "We have a number of the 737s and =
757s and in fact are working with Boeing, and they've been extremely =
helpful in working with us on a replacement aircraft order."=20

Going forward, airline industry consolidation could trigger more =
aircraft buying, said aviation analyst Richard Aboulafia of the Teal =
Group. "The U.S. market is the biggest in the world, and it has been =
asleep in the current aircraft buying cycle," he said. "Anything that =
gets them back into shape helps the manufacturers."=20

Aboulafia said that anyone investing in airlines is likely to envision =
the purchase of new aircraft as a way to increase operating efficiency. =
"The financiers behind these deals are likely to enable fleet spending," =
he said.=20

If the merger occurs, the combined Delta-US Airways fleet would contain =
231 aging 737s from the 200 and 300 series, as well as the McDonnell =
Douglas planes. "Neither manufacturer can alone offer the merged =
carriers particularly timely replacement," Hamilton wrote in a recent =
report that suggested both aircraft manufacturers could benefit from a =
deal.=20

[Index of Archives]         [NTSB]     [NASA KSC]     [Yosemite]     [Steve's Art]     [Deep Creek Hot Springs]     [NTSB]     [STB]     [Share Photos]     [Yosemite Campsites]