SFGate: Stuck in a holding pattern/Plan to attract foreign capital to U.S. airlines under attack

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Friday, March 17, 2006 (SF Chronicle)
Stuck in a holding pattern/Plan to attract foreign capital to U.S. airlines=
 under attack
David Armstrong, Chronicle Staff Writer


   The apparently scuttled deal to sell terminal operations at U.S. seaports
to a company owned by the government of Dubai, in the United Arab
Emirates, may also end up swamping a Bush administration plan to allow
foreign investors more say in the management of this country's airlines.
   Bush would like to grant foreign investors expanded authority to help set
airfares and schedules, select routes and draw up airline marketing plans.
The administration says giving foreigners greater input is designed to
encourage cash-rich foreign investors to pour funds into America's ailing
passenger airlines, thus providing the airlines with badly needed
liquidity to buy new planes, pay down debt, pay high fuel bills and
restore in-flight amenities.
   Money is badly needed. U.S. carriers have lost $40 billion since 2000, a=
nd
big names such as United Airlines, Continental Airlines, US Airways and
Delta Air Lines have turned to federal Bankruptcy Court for protection.
   Bush's idea, set out in November in a proposed rule change by
Transportation Secretary Norm Mineta, attracted little attention at the
time. But rising fears over national security, given new urgency by the
Dubai ports debacle, have Democratic and some Republican lawmakers lining
up to ground the administration's airline proposal by pushing restrictive
legislation through Congress.
   On its face, Mineta's proposal is modest. It would keep airline ownership
and top management in the hands of U.S. citizens, retain the present caps
on foreign ownership of airline stock at 49 percent and voting stock at 25
percent, and in Mineta's words wall off security from foreigners. His
proposal would simply require U.S. airlines to consult more closely with
their foreign investors, assuming they attract any.
   Present foreign investment in U.S. carriers is small. ACE Aviation
Holdings Inc., the parent company of Air Canada, took a $75 million stake
in US Airways when it emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection last
year, and Hawaiian Airlines, another recent veteran of Chapter 11, has
foreign minority shareholders in its new ownership, according to the
airline.
   Virgin America, a startup low fare-carrier based at San Francisco
International Airport that hopes to begin flights late this year, is
partly backed by British entrepreneur Richard Branson. Branson is a
minority investor who holds 49 percent of Virgin America's stock and 25
percent of its voting stock, in line with present U.S. regulations and
Mineta's proposal. The airline, a U.S. corporation, licenses the Virgin
brand from Branson's Virgin Group.
   Mineta told a congressional committee last week that he would like to put
his plan to give foreign investors a greater say in U.S. carriers into
effect as soon as possible.
   However, this country's renewed security fears -- coupled with memories =
of
Sept. 11, 2001, when hijacked airliners were used to attack the United
States -- have sparked significant political opposition from lawmakers who
fear Mineta's plan could provide the slippery slope that eventually leads
to foreign control over a crucial part of the nation's transportation
infrastructure.
   A bill to delay the plan for a year and give Congress a veto over it has
attracted more than 150 co-sponsors in the House. Rep. Peter DeFazio,
D-Ore., a supporter of the bill, said, "I'm pleased there's been so much
attention on the ports issue recently, but people need to be aware that
the administration is attempting to allow foreign governments and
interests to control other important industries like the airlines, as
well."
   A similar bill has been introduced in the Senate by Daniel Inouye,
D-Hawaii, and Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J. "First our ports, now our airlines.
President Bush is holding a fire sale of vital parts of our U.S. economy,"
Lautenberg fumed.
   Some want to go further
   The administration's proposal has supporters, too, but many say it doesn=
't
go nearly far enough to be effective in healing America's ailing airline
industry, despite all the concern it is stirring on national security
grounds.
   Among the plan's supporters are investment-hungry U.S. carriers, foreign
airlines eager to crack the American aviation market -- the world's
largest -- foreign governments and airline trade organizations.
   These entities characterize the proposal as a mere baby step. They say
Washington should simply scrap rules that forbid outright foreign
ownership of U.S. carriers and also allow international carriers to fly
between American cities, completing the 1978 deregulation of the aviation
business and allowing it to operate according to free-market principles.
   So far, Washington's embattled plan to loosen the rules a little has
attracted scant interest among those it is intended to attract: prosperous
foreign carriers with walking-around money, such as Middle Eastern
carriers Emirates and Gulf Air and European carriers Lufthansa Airlines
and British Airways, which have not been badly hurt by the industry
downturn that hammered U.S. carriers.
   British Airways Chairman Martin Broughton, speaking to an industry group
in New York two months ago, dismissed the administration's plan as "a
recipe for confusion," saying it was more a new interpretation of old
rules than a fully realized new rule.
   Washington should simply scrap its ban on foreign ownership, said
Broughton, whose company carries more international travelers than any
world carrier except Lufthansa. British Airways has been thwarted in
several attempts to initiate joint ticketing and marketing with American
Airlines on its lucrative transatlantic routes, and has long favored
aviation liberalization.
   Seeking global companies
   Some U.S. carriers also support dropping the ban on foreign ownership.
Cross-border airline mergers should be encouraged, they say, so that
airlines can consolidate and create truly global companies in a globalized
world.
   Glenn Tilton, chairman, president and chief executive of United Airlines,
told the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations in a 2004 speech that U.S.
regulations not only block "the capital investment this industry so
desperately needs, it excludes U.S. airlines from participating in the
supercarrier evolution."
   "No matter how well United or any U.S. carrier transforms its business,"
Tilton said, "none of us will be an integral part of the future of global
aviation unless there is real change in the U.S. regulatory environment
and the creation of a coherent national policy on aviation."
   That position is shared by the Air Transport Association, a Washington
industry group, and its global counterpart, Montreal's International Air
Transport Association, which has long called for world aviation to be
deregulated and run according to market principles.
   If the administration's proposal to lure foreign investors to the
struggling U.S. aviation industry takes wing, it could be the first phase
of a movement in that direction. But first, Mineta's plan will have to fly
through political headwinds in Congress and perhaps survive court
challenges.

   E-mail David Armstrong at davidarmstrong@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx --------------=
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Copyright 2006 SF Chronicle

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