SFGate: Delta, Northwest Start Road to Recovery

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Friday, September 16, 2005 (AP)
Delta, Northwest Start Road to Recovery
By HARRY R. WEBER and JOSHUA FREED, AP Business Writers


   (09-16) 07:53 PDT , (AP) --

   Their bankruptcy filings behind them, Delta and Northwest began a lengthy
and costly road to recovery on Thursday that will likely include cutting
employee rolls, pensions and routes. In the end, if they survive, the
nation's third- and fourth-largest airlines will be smaller and may look
more like the discount rivals that helped send them into bankruptcy.

   That perspective by analysts, bankruptcy experts and academics was
underscored Thursday as Atlanta-based Delta Air Lines Inc. and Eagan,
Minn.-based Northwest Airlines Corp. sought to reject certain aircraft
leases. In Delta's case, it also asked a New York bankruptcy judge to
allow it to abandon some properties and prevent utilities from turning off
its power.

   "What are they going to look like? They are going to look like Southwest
or JetBlue," said Manchester, N.H., bankruptcy and restructuring expert
Dan Sklar, referring to the low-cost carriers.

   David LeMay, an attorney who worked on Continental's bankruptcy in the
early 1990s, said that airline raised cash in bankruptcy by selling a
valuable trans-Pacific route and a terminal it was building at LaGuardia
airport in New York.

   "I'm sure that both Delta and Northwest will be looking very, very hard =
at
what is absolutely essential to keep and what can be sold," he said.

   While bankruptcy gives the airlines more leverage, it doesn't address one
of the companies' fundamental problems — not enough revenue.

   "There's no motion you can make in bankruptcy court that says, 'Please p=
ut
$20 million in the checking account this week,'" LeMay said. "People have
this impression that in bankruptcy you can do whatever you please, but
that's really not true at all."

   In Northwest's case, the airline will likely press its pilots to change
rules that limit its regional passenger service, said airline analyst Ray
Neidl at Calyon Securities in New York. Regional flying is important to
both carriers. But Northwest, with its large Midwest presence, already
does more flights at small airports than any other carrier. Shifting more
of those flights to its regional partners will help Northwest get
profitable again, Neidl said.

   On Thursday, the Air Line Pilots Association said Northwest was reducing
flying levels, which would result in 400 pilot furloughs over the next
eight months. That's in addition to around 500 Northwest pilots already on
furlough, the union said in a statement. A Northwest spokesman confirmed
the furloughs, but had no comment on them.

   Neidl predicted Delta will change its system even more than Northwest.
"They might try to become more international-oriented. Domestically, I'm
thinking they will shrink," he said.

   Delta also will likely look for savings at its in-house discount carrier,
Song. Neidl said Delta has claimed that Song is already cheap to operate,
but others haven't been so sure.

   "If it's not cheap now, I believe Delta will make it cheap," he said.

   To do that, job, pay and benefit cuts are almost a certainty. The chiefs
of both companies said after their filings Wednesday that more job cuts
are expected. Employee pensions also are in danger.

   Delta said it does not plan to make the next scheduled contribution to i=
ts
pension fund. Northwest had a $65 million pension payment due Thursday,
but said in a regulatory filing Tuesday that a claim against its assets
for nonpayment could be avoided if it filed for bankruptcy first. Some
analysts expect both airlines to terminate their pensions and dump the
responsibility on the federal government like UAL Corp.'s United Airlines
has done in its bankruptcy case. Northwest Chief Executive Doug Steenland
has said he wants to avoid that.

   Delta and Northwest have been seeking pension-law changes that would let
them spread out payments to their pensions, but the relief they may
ultimately get may not be enough to save the plans. The head of the
Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. said Thursday that Delta and Northwest have
a responsibility to meet their pension funding requirements. The federal
agency said that Delta's pension is underfunded by $10.6 billion and
Northwest's by $5.7 billion.

   At a bankruptcy court hearing Thursday, Northwest asked for permission to
pay $55 million to vendors for services during its mechanics strike. It
was the first acknowledgment of the costs of the strike, which began Aug.
20. At a separate hearing on Delta's bankruptcy, the airline revealed that
Cincinnati-based Fifth Third Bank had earlier in the day frozen Delta
accounts containing $35 million. Delta spokeswoman Chris Kelly said the
carrier believes the bank action was inappropriate, but added that Delta
was able to work out an agreement with the bank to unfreeze the accounts.
A bank spokeswoman did not immediately return a call seeking comment.

   Northwest says in a bankruptcy court filing that it wants to return 13
aircraft immediately, and it has designated 102 more for potential
removal. Northwest said it flies 433 aircraft.

   The planes Northwest wants to abandon immediately are already parked
— some with the aircraft in one city and its engines in another. One
Boeing 757 is parked in Indianapolis with one of its engines in Hanover,
Germany, according to the filing.

   Twenty-eight Boeing 757-200s are either parked now or proposed for
abandonment to the leaseholders, according to the filing.

   Those planes seat 180 people and Northwest uses them mostly on flights
between Northwest hubs and other large cities, said John Weber of BACK
Aviation Solutions, an aviation data and consulting firm.

   It's not clear how helpful the federal government and the airlines'
respective state governments can be during Delta's and Northwest's
bankruptcy, though some lawmakers have said they will try.

   When asked Thursday if his state intends to put together another Northwe=
st
bailout package, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty said, "Given how far they're
in debt, it is really beyond the capacity of the government to save the
day." Delta's debt stands at $28.3 billion; Northwest's at $17.92 billion.
Some Georgia lawmakers plan to meet next week to discuss how the state can
help Delta.

   As for customers, some industry observers believe service will be improv=
ed
at both airlines after the bankruptcy process concludes.

   "Flying might not be as convenient, but overall I don't think customers
are going to notice that much difference and two or three years from now
they may find they have better service — service with a smile," said
William Rochelle, a bankruptcy lawyer in New York.

   Michael Lapre, an assistant professor of management at Vanderbilt
University who has done airlines research, said quality will remain very
important for Delta and Northwest as the carriers seek to restructure
their debts.

   "Either they get their act together or there will be some sort of a
shake-up," he said.

   In the end, there even could be some mergers involving the big legacy
carriers, though some believe regulatory approval could make that
proposition difficult. But with persistently high fuel costs, some believe
consolidation is inevitable.

   "We just have one catastrophe after another in the industry," Rochelle
said. "I'm not sure any of them have the capacity to respond on their
own."

   Shares of Delta rose 4 cents, or 5.6 percent, to close at 75 cents
Thursday on the New York Stock Exchange, while Northwest shares fell 99
cents, or 53 percent, to close at 88 cents on the Nasdaq Stock Market. ----=
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Copyright 2005 AP

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