Fwd: Expert says Virgin may never come; spokesman tight-lipped

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--- In BATN@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "4/11 SF Examiner" <batn@xxxx> wrote:

Published Monday, April 11, 2005, in the San Francisco Examiner

Virgin America's launch date uncertain
Airline finalizing ownership arrangements

By Mary F. Albert <malbert@xxxx>
Staff Writer
 
S.F. AIRPORT -- Virgin America's launch date at San Francisco 
International Airport remains uncertain, and industry experts say 
the airline's attempt at a U.S.-based startup may "die a quiet 
death."

In 2003, Virgin executive Todd Pawlowski projected that the airline 
would begin flying in late 2004. Virgin America is a new low-fare 
airline being developed by British billionaire Richard Branson, who 
fathered Virgin Group and Virgin Atlantic airlines.

But two years later, the airline is still working out ownership 
arrangements. For this reason, airline spokeswoman Stacy Geagan
was tight-lipped about when the airline will lift off.

"We are in a quiet period," said Geagan. "I cannot comment on 
anything regarding the equity process."

However, a source close to the airline said the Virgin-branded 
airline is continuing to expand its team of experts who will 
eventually prepare the required Department of Transportation and 
Federal Aviation Administration applications once ownership 
arrangements are finalized.

The source also said that the airline has increased the number of 
its Burlingame-based employees to 17 and still plans on employing 
1,500 to 2,000 Bay Area residents.

But how long it will take to start hiring remains uncertain.

Beginning any new airline is a difficult, lengthy process, said 
aviation industry expert Michael Boyd of the Boyd Group Inc.

In this economic climate, it is "critically hard" to find investors, 
he said, especially at San Francisco International Airport, where 
airport fees are high and the market is not underserved. Even after 
securing funds, the airline has to go through an exhaustive 
application process.

"First they have to get the authority to apply from the DOT, which 
makes sure this looks like a legitimate company," said FAA spokesman 
Donn Walker. "Then they come to us. And they can't get a certificate 
until they have shown us their operating plan and we are convinced 
they can operate an airline safely.

"It is different for every airline," he added. "Every airline has 
different needs and is a different size."

For all these reasons, "[Virgin America] would be lucky if they 
could do it in 15 to 18 months" if at all, said Boyd, who is not 
optimistic that the startup will ever take off despite the backing 
of Branson and the airline's cadre of experienced executives, such 
as former Delta Airlines president Fred Reid.

"I think it might die a quiet death," he said.

If and when the startup takes off, SFO will be ready to welcome the 
airline into Terminal 2, said airport spokesman Michael McCarron. 
But the airport is not assuming the startup will actually happen.

"Our capital plan is based on what we have now, not what we might 
get," he said.


[BATN: See also:

Virgin America low-cost airline may not fly until 2006 
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BATN/message/22723

Virgin budget airline may not launch before 2006 
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BATN/message/22428

SFO drawing new low-cost airlines 
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BATN/message/21058

Virgin America plans to hire 1,600 for SFO hub 
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BATN/message/19249

Will new Virgin America discount airline fly? 
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BATN/message/19192

Virgin America to buy Airbus planes, hire 1,500 locals 
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BATN/message/18801 ]
--- End forwarded message ---

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