SFGate: SFO's 'smart' plan for air-traffic growth

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Tuesday, February 8, 2005 (SF Chronicle)
SFO's 'smart' plan for air-traffic growth
John L. Martin


   As passenger travel at San Francisco International Airport begins to
recover from a historic drop of 11 million annual passengers since January
2001, the airport is focused on a "smart growth" strategy that targets
specific types of service and uses state-of-the art technology, allowing
more efficient use of limited physical space.
   The airport is now focused on increasing long-haul and international
service, because this type of service translates to larger aircraft with
more passengers per plane, but fewer flights. That, along with the
implementation of a new radar landing procedure, allows SFO to make more
efficient use of its limited runway capacity. The "smart growth" program
at SFO has resulted in a 12 percent growth in passenger traffic in the
first 11 months of 2004, while the number of flight operations has grown
by only 5.1 percent. Why? Larger planes with higher passenger loads.
   We are pleased that our recruitment efforts for international flights ha=
ve
resulted in new services from SFO to New Zealand, Iceland, China, Vietnam
and Mexico at competitive fares. Virgin America's announcement that its
primary base of operations will be SFO will add to the continuing number
of competitively priced long-haul domestic flights. This is good news for
the entire Bay Area: A recent report by the Bay Area Economic Forum notes
that 10 new domestic flights a day at SFO translates to 3,892 direct and
indirect jobs, $71 million in direct wage income and $23 million in annual
state and local taxes in the Bay Area.
   SFO's goal is to continue to handle the vast majority of the Bay Area's
international traffic as well as a majority of the long-haul markets. We
expect to see much larger international passenger growth than domestic
passenger growth in the coming years. The average overseas flight to Asia
or Europe at SFO handles, on average, 2.5 times as many passengers as the
average domestic flight. Thus, international flights make the most
efficient use of our limited runway capacity.
   Airport capacity, however, is a regional issue. The Bay Area must
therefore pursue a program of smart planning and growth when it comes to
the most efficient use of the region's smaller airports to provide the
best service to Bay Area residents.
   Oakland, San Jose and Sacramento International Airports are all undergoi=
ng
major terminal redevelopment and expansion programs. These Bay Area
airports will nonetheless eventually face constrained runway capacity.
Thus, the Bay Area needs to plan for the return and growth of commercial
air service at other regional airports, including Charles M. Schulz Sonoma
County Airport in Santa Rosa and Buchanan Field in Concord. (This will not
affect the operation of small, private aircraft into and out of these
airports.) Plans should also be made to ensure that Travis Air Force base
is available for commercial use should it ever be decommissioned as a
military base. In the long term, Stockton Airport and Livermore Municipal
Airport should also grow to meet forecasted regional demand.
   The development of similar smaller regional airports has already occurred
in Los Angeles and New York. In recent years, Long Beach has started to
handle much larger passenger volumes. The Palmdale Airport, east of Los
Angeles, has also recently been cleared for commercial use.
   Residents in the North Bay should once again have nearby commercial air
service, which was canceled after the Sept. 11 attacks, and should not
have to face a 90-minute drive to SFO or Oakland Airport. Sonoma County
Airport is properly moving forward on plans to extend its runway to handle
regional jet aircraft and upgrade its passenger terminal. Buchanan Field
has also previously handled commercial flights. Tentative plans to
relocate that airport should anticipate the future demand for commercial
flights.
   Even with commercial flights, these airports will handle a relatively
small number of passengers. But their use will help to increase system
capacity and reduce Bay Area freeway traffic, thereby decreasing vehicle
emissions. It makes good environmental sense.
   The aviation industry has changed dramatically since Sept. 11, 2001, and
the shakeout is still occurring. The future of the industry is still
unknown. United Airlines, still in bankruptcy, accounts for almost 50
percent of SFO's traffic. The model for Virgin America's domestic
operation at SFO has also not been announced. As these uncertainties are
settled, SFO will begin updating its projections.
   In the meantime, SFO will continue to target smart growth and the
deployment of technology to make the most of limited runway capacity. The
new Precision Runway Monitor system, a $20 million investment that allows
planes to land on parallel runways during certain bad-weather conditions,
was inaugurated in October. This has allowed us to increase operations by
more than 30 percent in certain weather conditions.
   As the industry stabilizes, the Metropolitan Transportation Commission a=
nd
its Regional Airport Planning Committee should update the Regional Airport
System Plan to ensure coordinated and smart planning. Only after the
airline industry has started to stabilize and progress is made on updating
the regional plan should policy-makers revisit the issue of runway
configuration at SFO.
   John L. Martin is director of San Francisco International Airport. -----=
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Copyright 2005 SF Chronicle

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