SFGate: Bankrupt US Airways hopes for by 2007

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inancial1835EST0360.DTL
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Thursday, December 9, 2004 (AP)
Bankrupt US Airways hopes for by 2007
MATTHEW BARAKAT, AP Business Writer


   (12-09) 15:35 PST ALEXANDRIA, VA. (AP) --
   US Airways Group Inc. does not expect to turn a profit until 2007, even =
if
it achieves all the steep pay cuts from its workers that it is seeking
through the bankruptcy process, the company's former chief financial
officer testified Thursday.
   The bleak financial outlook, which would worsen if the airline can't
terminate its remaining pension plans and impose pay cuts of up to 30
percent, illustrates the difficulty the airline faces in attracting
investors to provide the cash US Airways needs to emerge from bankruptcy.
   Dave Davis, who until last month was CFO, told the bankruptcy court it's
doubtful the company can attract a new investor even if the judge grants
the airline's request to cancel its collective bargaining agreements with
its unions and imposes new terms that would save the airline $1 billion a
year.
   "It's going to be very challenging to attract equity with the returns
projected in (the airline's most recent transformation plan)," Davis said.
"It sort of gives the company a fighting chance, but it's not really
something you could go to the market with" and attract new investment.
   Davis said the airline estimates that it will still lose $200 million in
2005 and $25 million in 2006, even if it receives all of its requested
cuts. A small profit of $35 million is projected in 2007, with higher
profits in 2008 and beyond.
   Those projections are merely estimates. In the company's first bankruptcy
reorganization, it underestimated fuel costs by about $200 million a year
and underestimated its revenue by about $860 million a year.
   Once the company does turn a profit, the workers who are taking such
severe pay cuts now would be eligible for profit sharing that Davis said
is the best in the industry. Employees would get 10 percent of all profits
on a profit margin of up to 5 percent, and 25 percent of all profits on a
margin greater than 5 percent.
   But Davis said the airline's best projected profit margin in its
transformation plan is slightly higher than 3 percent, well below the
average for those airlines that actually turn a profit.
   US Airways, bankrupt for the second time in two years, is seeking to
transform itself into a low-cost carrier in the mold of America West
Holdings Corp. or JetBlue Airways Corp. The airline says it needs to
drastically cut worker pay, change work rules, terminate its remaining
pension plans and eliminate most medical benefits for retirees to become
competitive with such airlines.
   It is asking a judge to cancel the labor contracts of unions that do not
agree to new deals, and has warned that it will have to begin liquidating
assets by mid-January if it does not receive the requested relief.
   Chris Chiames, the airline's senior vice president for corporate affairs,
agreed with Davis' assessment. He said the company is still looking for
ways to either decrease costs or improve its revenue outlook.
   He ruled no options out, but said the most likely strategy would be to
find better ways to utilize the airline's fleet of 280 jets rather than
seek deeper cuts from labor.
   "This is a dynamic process and we still have more work to do," Chiames
said.

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Copyright 2004 AP

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