NYTimes.com Article: A Struggle Over Air Routes in East Asia

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A Struggle Over Air Routes in East Asia

October 22, 2004
 By KEITH BRADSHER





HONG KONG, Oct. 21 - The pact by Cathay Pacific Airways on
Wednesday to buy a stake in Air China has highlighted a
struggle across East Asia, and especially in Hong Kong and
mainland China, over how vigorously airlines should be
allowed to compete with each other on international routes.


At stake is the world's fastest-growing regional aviation
market, with China at its core. The fight over market
access has drawn not only airlines but investment bankers
seeking deals and consultants, lawyers and lobbyists
seeking contracts.

At the heart of the debate lies Hong Kong, home to Asia's
biggest airport for international passenger traffic and the
world's biggest hub for international air cargo shipments.
Many of the arguments here echo those at hubs dominated by
a single carrier in the United States.

Cathay Pacific is the biggest carrier here, and has opposed
allowing other airlines, especially American and Australian
carriers, greater rights to fly through Hong Kong and pick
up passengers to carry to other Asian destinations. At the
same time, however, Cathay and the Hong Kong government
have been pressing Beijing to allow more flights between
Hong Kong and mainland Chinese cities.

The most immediate question now is whether Cathay's planned
9.9 percent stake in the state-owned Air China will help
soften objections from Beijing to allowing more Cathay
flights to the mainland. Beijing has strictly limited the
number of these flights while trying to prepare its
domestic carriers for international competition, though it
raised the ceiling somewhat last month and has allowed more
nonstop flights lately from the United States.

Antony Tyler, who oversees Cathay's route negotiations as
its director of corporate development, said at a forum on
Thursday that the Air China deal made sense even leaving
aside the prospect of greater access to the Chinese market.
"This is an investment, and getting additional traffic
rights into China is a totally separate issue," he said.

But earlier in the forum, Mr. Tyler also voiced Cathay's
continued desire to offer flights from Hong Kong to
Shanghai. Dragonair, which has the Chinese government as
its biggest single stakeholder although Cathay also owns a
sixth of the shares, conducts a thriving business on the
route now.

Hong Kong has moved slowly but steadily to allow more
flights from other countries, sometimes over the objections
of Cathay but not fast enough to suit FedEx Express, in
particular. FedEx is now in talks to open an Asian hub 80
miles up the Pearl River in Guangzhou instead, and has been
strongly critical of Cathay.

"When you look at Hong Kong, Hong Kong is a market of
monopolies and duopolies," said David Cunningham, the
president of Asian and Pacific operations for FedEx. "My
concern for Hong Kong is that, living here and loving it,
the world has moved beyond that."

Cathay Pacific carries a third of the passengers passing
through Hong Kong; it holds its minority stake in
Dragonair, which has another tenth of the market; and is
now moving to invest in Air China, with another several
percentage points of the traffic here.

Limits on competition have tended to mean high prices but
also superb service. Cathay's numerous and fast-moving
flight attendants manage to serve every economy-class
passenger a hot meal even during 80-minute flights aboard
packed jumbo jets to Taipei.

Mr. Tyler acknowledged that air fares here are somewhat
higher than in other markets, but attributed this to
longstanding factors, notably differences in exchange
rates. He insisted that Hong Kong was a competitive market,
adding that Dragonair and Cathay compete not only with each
other but with at least one other carrier on every route.

Last year's lethal outbreak here of severe acute
respiratory syndrome, or SARS, underlined the value to Hong
Kong of having a locally based carrier, because other
airlines were quick to suspend service here while Cathay
kept flying, Mr. Tyler said. "We kept Hong Kong connected
to the world," he added.

In a gibe at the United States, which has sought greater
access for its carriers here over the years, Sandra Lee,
Hong Kong's permanent secretary for economic development,
pointed out that Hong Kong's policies did not include
giving so-called soft loans to airlines or allowing
airlines to take refuge from creditors in Chapter 11
bankruptcy proceedings.

As in Europe, decades of nationalistic policies in Asia
aimed at protecting flag carriers from foreign competition
are gradually being dismantled. Limits on the numbers of
international flights between cities are being slowly
raised and, in some cases, eliminated entirely.

Together with the arrival of budget carriers like Air Asia
of Malaysia and Virgin Blue of Australia that make use of
the expanded air service rights, the new freedom to compete
is forcing established airlines to control costs and, in
some cases, reduce fares.

Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand have led the trend toward
so-called open skies, drawing more passengers through their
airports as a result, sometimes at the expense of Hong
Kong.

Mr. Tyler said that after concluding Wednesday's deal, he
celebrated at an Eagles concert that night. He added, "If I
were Lufthansa and United, which have clearly courted Air
China, I'm sure I'd think, 'What is this all going to
amount to?' "

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/10/22/business/worldbusiness/22aviation.html?ex=1099449131&ei=1&en=efb2bad136dfd35e


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