Re: Industry Changes

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There's solid evidence that Continental's below-cost pricing during their bankrupticies distorted fares, forced other carriers to compete, again below cost.

CO used the bankruptcy laws to gain an unfair advantage by selling -- regularly and deliberately -- below cost.  You use investment bankers to finance that kind of corporate behavior, not shareholders.

This has left a scar on the industry still felt today.  The CO bankruptcy totally destroyed any hope for a rational realignment following deregulation, you know, what a free market is supposed to insure?

A market isn't free when it is subsidized by a court decision at the expense of other competitiors.  And what we have today is the product not only of competition, but of corporate mismanagment followed up by further government subsidy and mismanagement.  If only it were competition at work.

Douglas Schnell <dks28@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
But how? On the margin, the prospect of reorganization rather than
liquidation does undoubtedly alter some incentives, but there is just no
evidence that bankruptcy would result in a stronger industry structure.

To put it in different terms, imagine there was, from the time of the first
"modern" bankruptcy code in 1898, an exemption saying that firms engaged in
the asbestos business could not seek reorganization, only liquidation.
Would this have altered the structure of the industry to any degree? Would
it have avoided the liability problems companies began to experience in the
1970s? Doubtful.

Remember, bankruptcy is a US Constitutional mandate. It is not something
dreamed up by Congress "just for fun."

-----Original Message-----
From: The Airline List [mailto:AIRLINE@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of
Travel Pages
Sent: Monday, September 27, 2004 3:52 PM
To: AIRLINE@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: Industry Changes

The Euro's don't think so. They only know Chapt 7. My position is that the
elimination of a Chapter 11 in the airline industry would have put US
carriers in a much stronger position today.

CO's protracted and abusive bankruptcies went a long way to developing much
of today's pricing irrationalities in the name of market share.

damiross3@xxxxxxxxxxx wrote:

A bankrupt airline could be liquidated - it all depends on the type of
bankruptcy declared. Chapter 11 allows a business to continue operating
while it reorganizes. Chapter 7 is liquidation. Chapter 11 is a good idea
- it gives the business a second chance to be profitable.

David R

-------------- Original message --------------

> CO could also be said to have abused the state of Chapter 11 to the
> extreme detriment of the entire market. Operating for YEARS under cost
> in an attempt to recoup market share totally pushes the envelope of
> what bankruptcy is supposed to do. It is not supposed to reshape a market.
>
> Reminder to all observers that in Europe, when you become insolvent,
> your ticket is immediately pulled. Consequently, Euro-carriers cannot
> plan to file bankruptcy as a "what if" scenario in their marketing
> plans. Bankruptcy is the end of the operation, and they do indeed
> behave very differently than US carriers because of this restriction on a
company living beyond it's means.
> Just one reason why Euro-fares are inherently different and will
> remain so for a long time to come.
>
> You wonder what US airfares would look like if carriers equated
"bankruptcy"
> with "liquidation." Methinks you'd see fewer irrational fares.
>
> Douglas Schnell wrote:
> CO benefits mightily from cost savings imposed during its two trips to
> bankruptcy in the early 90s. In that sense, they could be said to have
> extreme foresight.
>
> They also have made a conscious decision to focus on business
> travelers as their core market, another decision that seems to be paying
dividends.
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: The Airline List [mailto:AIRLINE@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of
> Alireza Alivandivafa
> Sent: Monday, September 27, 2004 11:51 AM
> To: AIRLINE@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: Industry Changes
>
> I think CO is a good example of a legacy carrier that is treating its
> employees decently, offering good fares and keeping up service with
> things like meals on longer (and I mean over 2 hours) flights and the
> like. They have a seat-mile cost around that of WN according to recent
> measurements, mostly because they do things in house. They do their
> own catering (decent
> too) and keep their costs way down. A cool enough concept that I have
> Onepass now and am considering going elite on them next year (as I fly
> a lot more now).
>
> > find a way to do that, they are going to continue to have hard
> > times. I
> suspect that most people don't care that they don't get the bad
> airline food anymore. I for one am not about to choose what airline I
> fly based on whether or not they serve food. I think BAHA, you are the
> exception to the rule here.>>
>
>
> ---------------------------------
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