NYTimes.com Article: Pilots Could Control Fate of US Airways

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Pilots Could Control Fate of US Airways

August 24, 2004
 By MICHELINE MAYNARD





With time running out and its future on the line, the US
Airways Group will look to the leaders of the pilots' union
to do tomorrow what the union's negotiators refused to do
over the weekend: accept the airline's demand for $295
million in pay and benefit cuts.

US Airways is seeking a total of $800 million in cuts from
its employees, the third round of concessions it has sought
in the last two years. With critical financial milestones
looming at the end of September, the airline is pressing
the unions to come to terms by Sept. 15.

If the Air Line Pilots Association does not agree to
concessions, it is unlikely that US Airways will be able to
persuade any other labor groups to go along. Without the
concessions, the airline would probably file for Chapter 11
bankruptcy protection as soon as next month. The airline's
chairman and the financial advisers to the pilots' union
have said there is a good chance the company will be
liquidated if it falls into bankruptcy again.

But despite the shaky outlook, US Airways continues to look
ahead. Yesterday, the airline announced plans to turn Fort
Lauderdale, Fla., into a minihub next year for flights to
11 destinations in the Caribbean and Latin America,
tripling its service to the city.

The plan, which obviously depends on success in the talks
between US Airways and its unions, would be an attempt to
challenge the low-fare airlines that are the source of much
of the troubles facing US Airways, particularly JetBlue
Airways and Spirit Airlines.

US Airways said it intended to cut fares on many flights to
Fort Lauderdale from cities like Boston and Newark.

Late last week, the pilots' union signaled that a deal with
US Airways was close, but on Sunday afternoon, its
bargainers rejected the latest proposal from the airline
and broke off talks. The union said that US Airways had
dismissed "several significant proposals" by its
negotiators and was continually raising its demands.

People who have been briefed on each side's proposals said
yesterday that the airline was refusing to budge from its
$295 million target for cuts in pilots' pay and benefits,
while the union had expressed willingness to accept cuts
only in the range of $175 million to $180 million, along
with some work-rule changes.

US Airways then asked the union's leadership to review its
latest offer. The union is "well aware of the need for us
to implement a successful transformation plan as quickly as
possible," said an airline spokesman, David Castelveter.

Phillip A. Baggaley, an industry analyst at Standard &
Poor's Ratings Services, said the company's request might
help break the impasse, by taking the union's negotiating
team out of the picture.

There are several options available to the union's master
executive council, officials said. The council could
endorse the airline's proposal and schedule a ratification
vote by pilots; it could put the proposal before its
members for a vote without making an endorsement; it could
reject the proposal; or it could ask its bargainers to
reopen talks and continue working.

Whether the leadership backs the proposal or not, a "yes"
vote by the pilots would give some badly needed impetus to
the airline's talks with other unions.

But there is no assurance that the pilots' leaders or the
rank and file would accept the airline's proposal. Either a
rejection or a decision to go back to the table could be
problematic, Mr. Baggaley said. "There's not a lot of time
left, and all sorts of interconnected bad things can
happen," he said.

By Sept. 30, US Airways must be in compliance with the
terms of its federally backed loans, the basis of the
restructuring that helped it emerge from bankruptcy
proceedings in April 2003. The airline is talking with the
Air Transportation Stabilization Board about its situation.
The board has already modified the terms of US Airways'
loans once; had it not done so, the airline would have been
in technical default on the loans earlier this year.

The airline also faces deadlines next month related to
aircraft financing provided by two builders of regional
jets, Embraer and Bombardier, as well as by GE Capital.

On Friday, before the latest developments in the talks with
the pilots, Standard & Poor's lowered its debt rating for
US Airways to CCC, from CCC+, saying that there was an
increasing risk that the labor talks would not wrap up in
time. The ratings agency has cut US Airways' rating three
times since the airline emerged from bankruptcy in April
2003 with a B rating.

Last week, US Airways' chairman, David G. Bronner, who
heads Alabama's pension fund, warned that lenders would be
unlikely to come forward with fresh money if US Airways
slipped into bankruptcy again, and that a liquidation could
result. The airline's chief executive, Bruce R. Lakefield,
later played down that possibility while acknowledging that
a bankruptcy filing was a distinct possibility.

Even so, US Airways said yesterday that it would introduce
new service to Guatemala City; Panama; Kingston, Jamaica;
San Salvador; and other cities. It also plans nonstop
service between Fort Lauderdale and the Bahamas, the
Dominican Republic, Costa Rica and Puerto Rico, among other
destinations.

But potential travelers on those routes may put off booking
seats and buying tickets until they know whether the
airline will be in business to fly them, according to Kevin
P. Mitchell, chairman of the Business Travel Coalition, an
advocacy group representing business travelers and
corporate travel departments.

"The average person on the street has to be very confused"
about US Airways' situation, Mr. Mitchell said, especially
people who live in the airline's principal hub cities,
Philadelphia and Charlotte, N.C. "They could wake up to a
headline in October some time saying, 'It's over.' "

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/24/business/24air.html?ex=1094358222&ei=1&en=9b7d21833526696d


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