NYTimes.com Article: Asset Mix Took Toll on United's Pension Fund

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Asset Mix Took Toll on United's Pension Fund

August 13, 2004
 By MARY WILLIAMS WALSH





United Airlines, which appears likely to default on its
pension plans in the coming months, invested a
larger-than-average share of its $6.6 billion pension
portfolio in illiquid investments, while also investing
liberally in junk bonds, technology and pharmaceutical
start-ups, even a gold mining company in Ghana.

But a rare look at the latest available detailed
information on the contents of United's pension fund, as of
December 2002, shows no extraordinary missteps or unique
failures of judgment; the airline got into trouble more or
less the way virtually every other pension fund did that
year.

While United's investment results were not far out of step
with other pension funds, the losses had a far more
devastating effect on the fund because they coincided with
United's own business troubles. Cash-rich companies that
suffered pension losses during the bear market have been
able to pump new money into their plans. But United, a unit
of the UAL Corporation, is in bankruptcy, and it has no
spare cash with which to replace the pension money lost in
the stock market.

The market's rebound since then has not helped United much
either. Even though the value of its pension assets has
gone back up, its obligations have grown, too. Its pension
fund finished 2003 with $6.9 billion in assets, or just 53
percent of the amount needed to pay its $13.1 billion of
obligations to retirees.

United's difficulties with its pension plans are prompting
some specialists to call for a re-examination of the way
all companies handle their pension investments, which they
say forces the government to act as a backstop for
speculative investments over which it has little oversight.
When a company pension fund fails, the government's pension
insurance agency, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation,
makes up the losses.

Rich Nelson, a spokesman for United, said that if anything,
the airline's pension investments surpassed industry
benchmarks.

"The return on United's current pension program since its
inception 17 years ago is in line with, and slightly ahead
of, comparable large corporate plans," Mr. Nelson said.
United has four separate pension plans for different groups
of employees, but keeps the assets pooled in a single
trust.

Like most corporate pension funds, United's favored stocks
above all else. It held about 61 percent of its total
assets in stocks at the end of 2002, with about one-fifth
of those the stocks of foreign businesses. The average
corporate pension fund was about the same.

As a stock picker, United fell prey to many of the same
highflying dot-coms and telecom flameouts that brought
grief to investors everywhere when the technology bubble
burst. Its pension fund also had a sizable exposure to the
energy-trading companies - like El Paso Energy, Dynegy and
the Williams Companies - that became embroiled in
accounting disputes that year. The biggest energy-trading
disaster, Enron, does not appear on the list, however.

United's pension investments also included companies found
well off the beaten path, in emerging countries like
Russia, Thailand, China and Panama. Some of these - like
the Ghanaian gold mining concern - were gambles that paid
off. Others, like a $5 million bet on an Israeli software
company, Check Point Software Technologies, were losers
that ended 2002 worth just a fraction of what United paid
for them.

The most telling sign of United's stomach for risk was its
pension fund's relatively large position in stocks that are
not publicly traded. United had about 5.1 percent of its
pension assets in these stocks, known as private equities -
not enough to be the ruination of the pension fund, but
still well above the average, just 3.4 percent, for the
company pension funds tracked by Greenwich Associates, a
research and consulting firm.

Some pension watchdogs frown on the use of private equities
because they are hard to sell. They are normally offered
through investment partnerships that require commitments of
8 to 10 years, and they are very difficult to cash out of
without losses. Their year-to-year performance is hard to
evaluate because there are no uniform disclosure
requirements and they have no agreed-upon market price.

At the end of 2002, United's commitments had not yet borne
fruit. It paid $403.5 million for the private equities but
said they were worth just $313.4 million at that point.

Mr. Nelson called the airline's position in private
equities "an appropriate level, in keeping with our overall
diversification strategy."

Over all, the value of United's pension assets fell by
about 9.3 percent in 2002, according to separate records
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. That
compares to a 0.2 percent average decline in pension asset
values that year, according to Greenwich Associates. (Both
year-to-year changes include the effect of company
contributions and payments to retirees during the year, as
well as investment returns.)

Virtually all companies that operate pension funds have
ranged far afield from the conservative bonds that secured
pensions years ago. Today, the typical pension fund has
about 60 percent of its assets in stocks and about 30
percent in bonds, and the rest in what are known as
alternative investments: private equities, real estate,
high-yield bonds, even hedge funds.

The goal in investing so aggressively has been to reduce
compensation costs and bolster profits. The accounting
rules for pension funds help, by allowing companies to
project the long-term gains they expect from their pension
investments, then factor that projection into their bottom
lines - even in years when the projections are dead wrong.

United assumed that its pension fund would earn 9.75
percent in 2002, for instance, and used that assumption to
reduce its reported labor costs, even though the pension
fund actually lost money.

This feature of the accounting rules has drawn much
criticism from investors, who find it misleading. Pension
specialists fault it further, saying it has become a
powerful incentive for companies to invest in riskier
assets. The greater the risk, the higher the projected
returns a company can justify, and the stronger the kick to
the bottom line.

"The accounting encourages a mismatch, because they get an
earnings windfall," said Zvi Bodie, a finance professor at
Boston University who has warned for years of the dangers
of trying to secure pension promises with stocks and other
volatile investments. "It's bad for employees because it
increases the chance that they won't get their promised
benefits. It's bad for the P.B.G.C. It's bad for the
taxpayers. So who's it good for? It's good for the firms
that manage the equities."

Despite such warnings, many pension officials say today's
approach to pension investing is sound. Stocks, they say,
can be expected to yield higher returns over the long term,
which is why they believe they make sense given the nature
of pension commitments far into the future.

"The company's investment strategy,'' Mr. Nelson, United's
spokesman, said, "emphasizes diversification among asset
classes, such as equity and fixed income, diversification
among investment strategies such as growth stocks and value
stocks, and diversification among the managers. The
strategy focuses on long-term returns, given the plans'
long-term liabilities."

United's list of pension investments is not routinely open
to public scrutiny, although it is not officially secret
either. A copy of its list was provided to The New York
Times by a government official after numerous requests.

One of United's more venturesome investments was a stake in
Ashanti Goldfields, a large mining company that went public
in 1994, when the government of Ghana sold off more than
100 state enterprises. Though some critics deplored what
they called the sale of "Ghanaians' birthright" at the
time, the stock offering was widely hailed as a success,
with development economists calling it a sign that
long-overlooked Ghana was ripe for foreign investment. In
1999, Ashanti became the first African operating company to
trade on the New York Stock Exchange.

Ashanti's stock price went nowhere in the late 1990's, but
then rocketed in 2002, when two other big mining companies,
one in London and the other in South Africa, mounted a
billion-dollar bidding war for Ashanti's stock.

Last April the South African company finally won, and
Ashanti Goldfields was merged into AngloGold in a deal with
a reported value of $1.3 billion. United's pension list
foreshadows this success, stating the pension fund had paid
$147,000 for stock worth $310,000 at the end of 2002. The
airline was unable yesterday to describe what happened to
its investment after that.

But United's investments in private equities were less
auspicious. In 1996, for example, United made a commitment
to a private investment partnership being offered by Willis
Stein & Partners, an investment firm in Chicago, where the
airline has its headquarters. Willis Stein said it would
put its investors' money to work buying and building up
midsize companies in the Midwest, and by 1998 it was
reporting returns in the 40 percent range.

Willis Stein then offered a second partnership and United
made a commitment to that one, too. But that partnership
bought, among other things, a Chicago publishing company
that focused on technology titles, which was caught up in
the technology crash. At the end of 2002, United's list
showed a current value of $9 million for the second
partnership, and a historical cost of $23 million.

Regulators have watched companies make pension investments
like these with growing concern in recent years, knowing
the federal pension agency would be called upon to cover
the losses if the markets soured. But pension regulators
have little power to influence such investment decisions.
The pension funding rules provide detailed instructions for
how much companies must put into their pension funds, but
they say almost nothing about how the money should then be
invested.

As more and more failed pension funds have gone to the
pension agency in recent years, some officials have
proposed new measures to discourage excessive risk-taking.
One idea being considered is to change the premiums the
government charges for its pension insurance.

Currently, the agency charges most companies flat-rate
premiums, $19 per covered employee, no matter how risky or
safe the assets in the pension fund. Proponents of the
change say that if the premiums were tied to risk, not only
would the deficit-ridden pension agency get more revenue,
but companies would have an incentive to rein in the
riskiness of their pension investments.

"It certainly would not be hard to do this for a private
insurance entity," Mr. Bodie said. But the pension agency
would have to get Congressional approval, he said.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/13/business/13pension.html?ex=1093406083&ei=1&en=3dfca500538d0a9e


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