NYTimes.com Article: Air Fares Slip

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Air Fares Slip

June 22, 2004
 JOE SHARKEY





AIR FARES DOWN After climbing slightly but steadily all
year, average domestic fares at eight major United States
airlines dropped 1.8 percent in May, according to the Air
Transport Association. With overall domestic capacity
expected to be up more than 10 percent this summer over
last summer and low-cost carriers continuing to challenge
bigger rivals for market share on competing routes, the
sagging fares in May suggest that downward pressure could
continue on summer domestic fares, industry analysts said.
International fares, where there is no competition from
low-cost carriers, have risen steadily all year, the trade
group said.

FUEL PUMP BLUES Some airlines have been wailing that the
surging cost of fuel has thwarted a return to
profitability. But a new Unisys R2A Scorecard report
questions their reasoning. "Current fuel prices, in nominal
dollars, are near but still below their all-time high" just
before the first Persian Gulf war in 1990, the report
stated. When adjusted for inflation, current fuel prices
are about half of what they were in 1981. "For all
carriers, because of their increasing fuel efficiency, fuel
prices are steadily declining in relative importance"
compared with other operating costs, according to the
report, which adds: "Fuel price levels are not the cause of
the current disastrous financial results posted by the
large carriers. It follows, then, that lower fuel prices
would not save the carriers."

HIGHER HOTEL TABS Average room rates in domestic hotels
will rise by 3 percent this year, according to
PricewaterhouseCoopers. A big reason, it said, is a
higher-than-anticipated proportion of business travelers to
leisure travelers, who are more likely to be bargain
hunters.

WORLD'S LONGEST FLIGHT Singapore Airlines will break its
own record for the world's longest nonstop commercial
flight when it begins service between Singapore and Newark
next Monday. The 18-hour flight, which crosses the North
Pole, will cover 10,357 miles. That is nearly 1,200 miles
more than the existing record, the nonstop route between
Singapore and Los Angeles that the airline began flying in
February. To entice business travelers on those routes,
Singapore configured new, ultra-long-range Airbus A340-500
aircraft with two cabin classes: executive economy, which
has 117 seats with 37 inches of legroom, and its Raffles
business class, with 64 seats that can fold down flat for
conversion into 78-inch-long beds.

MORE AIRPORT ADS? Airport advertising, which includes
everything from signs and billboards to corporate messages
woven into departure lounge rugs, is a "highly effective
medium for reaching upscale Americans," according to a
survey released yesterday by Arbitron Inc. Of the 92
million Americans who boarded airplanes in the last 12
months, 17 million are considered frequent fliers who tend
to be "affluent, well-educated and sophisticated
consumers," Arbitron said. Diane Williams, an Arbitron
research analyst, said that airport advertising provided an
especially good opportunity for selling luxury goods and
entertainment because it reaches "upscale targets in a
captive environment."

FOREIGN VISITORS SURGE About 3.4 million foreign visitors
traveled to the United States in April, representing a 28
percent increase over April 2003, the Commerce Department
said yesterday. During the first four months of this year,
11.4 million foreign visitors arrived, an increase of 16
percent from the same period last year.

JOE SHARKEY

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/06/22/business/22memo.html?ex=1088914243&ei=1&en=4508d8729e87fbd6


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