SFGate: Government aid snub sets stage for more change at United Airlines

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Friday, June 18, 2004 (AP)
Government aid snub sets stage for more change at United Airlines
DAVE CARPENTER, AP Business Writer


   (06-18) 02:35 PDT CHICAGO (AP) --
   United Airlines' best hope to emerge from bankruptcy with strong financi=
al
backing was dashed by a government assistance panel, potentially setting
the stage for further cuts and restructuring at the world's No. 2 carrier.
   The Air Transportation Stabilization Board late Thursday denied United's
request to guarantee $1.6 billion of a $2 billion private loan, leaving
the status of the airline's makeover in question after 11/2 years in
Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
   United retains a glimmer of hope for the long-sought loan guarantee. Two
of the three agencies involved in the board said they would consider a
revised application by the airline, whose executives immediately moved to
make changes and resubmit it.
   Barring a quick reversal, however, a pressing need for cash will likely
prompt United to seek help from investment groups that are certain to
demand more cutbacks in exchange for their equity. That would be another
painful blow for employees who already have made concessions saving the
company $2.5 billion annually in labor costs.
   Passengers could feel little impact from the additional financial turmoil
unless routes are eliminated to slash costs. But without the federal
assistance, analysts said the airline may have to renegotiate deals with
unsecured shareholders, end pension benefits and turn over majority
control to an outside group -- if not delay its emergence from bankruptcy
until 2005.
   "It's going to mean some big changes at United," said Darryl Jenkins, he=
ad
of the Embry Riddle Aeronautical University at Daytona Beach, Fla., and a
consultant to numerous airlines. "They're going to have to go and get more
concessions."
   "There will be plenty of people willing to provide United equity," Jenki=
ns
said. "But they have a tough quarter ahead of them."
   Five days after being turned down by the board for a similar request on
Dec. 4, 2002, the airline filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection amid
fears it might not survive. This time, while it remains unprofitable,
there's little concern the Elk Grove Village, Ill.-based carrier will
liquidate.
   "It's not the end of the world," said Michael Shonstrom, of Denver-based
analyst group Shonstrom Research Associates. "At this point it takes away
a margin of safety and time associated with getting the airline on solid
ground in terms of operating credibility."
   Even the federal assistance board, which criticized United's unsound
business plan 19 months ago, paid tribute to its steps in bankruptcy to
lower costs, strengthen its competitive position and improve its
governance structure. Unfortunately for United, that progress may have
cost it the government aid.
   "A majority of the board believes that the likelihood of United succeedi=
ng
without a loan guarantee is sufficiently high so as to make a loan
guarantee unnecessary," the board statement said. A guaranteed loan to
United, it said, "is not a necessary part of maintaining a safe, efficient
and viable commercial aviation system in the United States."
   Both the Treasury and Transportation departments issued statements saying
they would reconsider an improved application by United in the coming
days.
   United called the board's decision "perplexing and premature."
   "We do not believe that the board was made fully aware of the important
modifications United was willing to bring to the table," the company said
in a statement. "We are respectfully petitioning the ATSB for
reconsideration of our pending loan application."
   The board's denial drew harsh criticism from United's unions.
   "The ATSB failed to stabilize the industry they were created to protect,"
said Robert Roach Jr., a vice president for the International Association
of Machinists and Aerospace Workers.
   The board was established by Congress to oversee a $10 billion loan
program, part of an airline industry bailout after the Sept. 11, 2001,
terrorist attacks. It has issued six loan guarantees totaling $1.56
billion.
   United's bid was perceived as being hurt by the continuing struggles of =
US
Airways, even after it received a $900 million loan guarantee. Soaring jet
fuel costs also have damaged United's bottom line, adding $750 million in
expenses this year, and resulted in greater bankruptcy losses than
expected.

Associated Press writers Jeannine Aversa in Washington and Mike Colias in
Chicago contributed to this report

On the Net:
   www.united.com

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Copyright 2004 AP

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