SFGate: Coast-to-coast fares drop to new lows

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Wednesday, May 12, 2004 (AP)
Coast-to-coast fares drop to new lows
SCOTT MCCARTNEY, The Wall Street Journal


   (05-12) 07:09 PDT (AP) --
   Susan Gladstone flew from Los Angeles to New York last week to show off
her infant son to friends and family. Round-trip fare: $224 on United
Airlines.
   "I didn't need to go," she says, "but it was an offer I couldn't pass up=
"
   Thanks to a brutal fare war between discounters and the old-line airline=
s,
flying between the coasts now is the best bargain in the skies. You can
spend more on a single night at a Disneyland hotel or a New
York-Washington train ticket than it costs to jet across the country and
back. In fact, airlines currently charge more for the 190-mile flight
between Boston and New York than the 2,456-mile trip from Los Angeles to
New York.
   For years, the big carriers have been able to keep fares high on these
heavily traveled routes because they've had the market largely to
themselves. The discounters favored short routes and small jets, such as
the Boeing 737, that didn't have coast-to-coast range. Now, the low-cost
airlines, armed with planes that can fly farther on a tank of gas, have
decided that the busy transcontinental market is their next big growth
area.
   If airlines drew a line in the sand, this would be it: Both sides badly
need coast-to-coast routes, and seem steeled for a long fight. The
traditional airlines not only are matching the discounters' prices
extensively, but they also are adding additional flights on those routes.
   Tuesday, for example, American Airlines, United, Delta Air Lines, America
West Airlines and JetBlue Airways all had lots of seats available at about
$220 for trips booked just seven days in advance with a Saturday night
stay. Memorial Day weekend wasn't much more expensive. Leave Los Angeles
on Friday, return Memorial Day and pay $310 for nonstops on America,
United and America West, or $329 on JetBlue.
   All of this is exactly why it's so hard to make a profit in the airline
industry. Douglas Parker, America West's chief executive, notes that if
Wal-Mart builds a store across the street from a Safeway, Safeway doesn't
turn around and build a second store at the same intersection. But when
new airlines start flying routes, the bigger carriers quickly add flights
there as well.
   Indeed, there's been a huge escalation in capacity on these cross-country
routes. In June, the number of seats between Boston and Los Angeles-area
airports will be more than double what it was in June of last year,
according to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Capacity also will have doubled on
the New York-San Diego route, taking into account all New York airports.
Boston-San Francisco will be up 63 percent. Washington-Los Angeles, New
York-San Francisco, New York-Seattle and San Francisco-Washington all will
have at least 20 percent more seats available this June. And New York-Los
Angeles, the biggest and most mature of all the transcontinental markets,
will grow by 14 percent. That's more than 3,000 additional seats flying
between the two cities each day.
   With all those seats to fill, airlines are having to cut fares to
ridiculous levels. Two decades ago when Braniff International was in its
dying days, it offered a last-gasp sale of $99 (each way) anywhere it
flew. Today, you can easily get a flight clear across the country for
about $100 each way -- that's half the Braniff fare if you take inflation
into account. Of course, even with the extra seats, the lowest fares may
not be available on the exact flights you want.
   Even last-minute fares have come down dramatically. Once priced at more
than $2,000, the most-expensive coach ticket I could find for a New
York-Los Angeles round-trip leaving tomorrow and returning Friday was a
$972 fare offered by Continental Airlines. But there were even cheaper
offerings than that for business travelers. Tuesday, you could book the
same days for as little as $372 on American, flying into Orange County,
Calif.
   JetBlue Airways, which was among the first to spot the opportunity to mo=
ve
into transcontinental routes, already has 53 percent of its capacity on
coast-to-coast flights. Other discount airlines rapidly are jumping into
the fray. America West Airlines upped the ante this year when it decided
to deploy four 124-seat jets between both Los Angeles and San Francisco,
and New York and Boston.
   Meanwhile, Atlantic Coast Airlines, now a feeder carrier for United, pla=
ns
to start flying cross-country routes when it relaunches itself as low-cost
Independence Air. Aircraft makers have suggested that Richard Branson's
planned startup, Virgin USA, also is aimed at these markets. Southwest
Airlines, too, is adding to capacity on these long domestic routes.
   The old-line carriers, instead of retreating or choosing to match the
lower fares on a limited basis only, are aggressively going after these
travelers. AMR Corp.'s American Airlines, in particular, has added
capacity and enticed customers with special sales and frequent-flier
bonuses.
   "These transcon markets are a perfect example of where we have made a
decision to stand and fight," says Gerard Arpey, American's chief
executive.
   With prices so low, airlines have said they are losing money on
transcontinental routes. Continental said that in February, its unit
revenue in transcontinental markets fell 25 percent to 30 percent. And
those markets accounted for 12 percent of its domestic capacity in that
month, up from 9.8 percent in February 2003.
   Travelers such as Robert Preece are one reason why. He flies from Los
Angeles to New York several times a year for pleasure, and often buys a
first-class ticket because he's 6-foot-5. When he saw a $216 coach fare on
American, his wallet outvoted his knees. "It was too cheap to pass up," s
Mr. Preece. "I was very surprised."
   Ironically, even JetBlue, which triggered much of the fare war and is mo=
re
dependent on coast-to-coast travel now than any other carrier, has been
feeling the pinch of low prices.
   Still, none of the airlines shows any sign of capitulation. There won't =
be
any retreat in summer when planes are full. Beyond that, these routes are
just too important to both sides, and that's great news for travelers.
This is one air war that likely is going to go on for a long time.

Cheap Seats

   A sampling of some of the new low fares on coast-to-coast flights

   * Boston-Los Angeles: $203
   American, America West, United

   * Los Angeles-Washington: $183
   America West, Alaska

   * New York-Los Angeles: $203
   American, America West, Delta, United

   * Boston-San Francisco: $222
   American

   Note: Lowest fare offered, through June, for nonstop, round-trip service

   Source: Fares listed Tuesday on websites.

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Copyright 2004 AP

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