NYTimes.com Article: New, Smaller Planes Crowding Skies Once Left to Big Jets

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New, Smaller Planes Crowding Skies Once Left to Big Jets

March 7, 2004
 By MATTHEW L. WALD





WASHINGTON, March 6 - For years the skies have been crowded
with airplanes, but the planes' capabilities have kept them
at different altitudes, with small, piston-driven models a
few thousand feet above ground, commuter turboprops in the
20,000-foot range and jet airliners at 30,000 feet or
higher.

Now, to the dismay of aviation experts, an increasing
number of planes may begin competing for space at the same
higher altitudes. The turboprops are disappearing and being
replaced by "regional jets," which fly at big-jet
altitudes. Some of the older, larger jetliners are
disappearing, too, each being replaced by two small
regional jets.

The number of corporate jet flights is on the rise as the
economy rebounds, in planes owned by major corporations or
shared through fractional ownership, sold somewhat like
time-share condominiums. And manufacturers of private
planes are planning new "microjets" - small, relatively
cheap planes designed for flying at the altitudes, if not
the speeds, of the big airliners.

The changes are happening as the industry recovers from the
terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, SARS and the Iraq war,
and as the level of air traffic returns to near its 2001
peak, when delays kept millions of passengers waiting in
airport lounges and on planes in takeoff lines.

"We're expecting a crunch in late spring or summer," said
H. Keith Hagy, assistant director of the engineering and
air safety department at the Air Line Pilots Association.

Others put the critical point slightly later, but Mr. Hagy
and other experts agree that a proliferation of small jets
is part of the problem. There are almost 500 regional jets,
or R.J.'s, on order, and they are entering the system at
the rate of about 200 a year, representing nearly all of
the growth in airliner aviation.

"There's going to be a lot more competition for the
airspace," said David Watrous, the president of an industry
advisory group, the RTCA, formerly known as the Radio
Technical Commission for Aeronautics.

Top officials of the Federal Aviation Administration say
the trends will challenge them. At a meeting of the RTCA
last month, Russell Chew, the agency's chief operating
officer, said air traffic costs were based mostly on the
number of planes, not on how big they were. "Capacity has
already begun to become tight again," Mr. Chew said in a
speech.

The agency's revenue comes from ticket taxes, but ticket
revenues are flat or declining. "The financial pressures
are going to be enormous," Mr. Chew said.

In January, the secretary of transportation said the F.A.A.
would need to triple its capacity to handle traffic in the
next few years. But the administration's budget for the
agency for the next fiscal year calls for an 18 percent cut
in spending on new facilities and equipment, which led the
agency to shelve several projects intended to increase
capacity.

Ruth Marlin, the executive vice president of the National
Air Traffic Controllers Association, said runway
congestion, the traditional choke point for the system,
could be made worse by a switch from turboprops to jets,
because many airports have one runway for each.

The turboprops, which are planes with jet engines that turn
propellers, can use older, shorter runways of less than
6,000 feet, but if the runway is given over to small jets
carrying the same number of seats, the turboprop has to
compete with the big jets for time on the bigger runway.

A former president of the Air Line Pilots Association, J.
Randolph Babbitt, said, "At La Guardia, you can still only
land them one every 54 seconds, or whatever the number du
jour is."

Mr. Babbitt, now a consultant, said: "There's a finite
amount of concrete. If you take one 747 out and put two
R.J.'s in, it's just one more aircraft in the air traffic
environment and the runway environment."

The number of regional jets could eventually be dwarfed by
a new class of private jets meant to replace high-end
private planes with piston engines. Eclipse Aviation, of
Albuquerque, plans to begin delivering a four-seat,
twin-engine jet in 2006, for under $1 million each, which
would cut current prices in half. The company already has
more than 2,000 orders.

The crowding is reviving friction between the airlines and
other operators. At the RTCA meeting, Ira G. Pearl, the
director of flight operations at Delta Air Lines,
complained that in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., one recent
Saturday, one of his company's wide-body jets, with 200
passengers on board, was delayed 45 minutes as it waited
for takeoff behind 13 corporate jets.

The F.A.A. has always operated on a first-come-first-served
basis, but, Mr. Pearl said, "H.O.V. lanes in the sky are
something to think about" - meaning a system like car-pool
lanes on a highway, also called high-occupancy-vehicle
lanes, in which planes would get priority according to how
many people they carried.

Peter West, the spokesman for the National Business
Aviation Association, responded in a telephone interview
that business flights were a sign of a healthy economy,
which would help provide the growth that would keep the
airlines healthy, and that the solution was to increase
capacity.

In fact, the aviation agency recently added capacity by
changing the traffic pattern above 30,000 feet, so planes
can fly within 1,000-foot layers instead of 2,000-foot
layers. It also has a new system for planes to navigate
using a combination of guideposts, including the global
positioning system and ground-based radio beacons, and to
take direct paths rather than following established lanes
in the sky. But it has published procedures for the system
for only a handful of airports.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/03/07/politics/07TRAF.html?ex=1079671977&ei=1&en=3380519605232cd6


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