NYTimes.com Article: U.S. Begins Investigation of United Airlines

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U.S. Begins Investigation of United Airlines

December 19, 2003
 By MICHELINE MAYNARD





As United Airlines went back to a federal loan board for a
second time yesterday, seeking approval for $1.6 billion in
loan guarantees, the Justice Department opened an antitrust
investigation into United's role in encouraging a hostile
takeover bid for a regional carrier it uses on the East
Coast.

The investigation, disclosed late yesterday, cast a cloud
over United's application for the federal aid. The Air
Transportation Stabilization Board's decision last year to
reject United's first request for assistance forced the
airline to file for bankruptcy protection.

The Justice Department inquiry focuses on a spat that has
created yet another hurdle for United, the nation's
second-biggest air carrier, after American Airlines, as it
attempts to restructure.

Last summer, Atlantic Coast Airlines, which operates as
United Express and Delta Connection, announced that it
would form a low-fare carrier, to be called Independence
Air, which would fly out of Dulles International Airport
near Washington.

Atlantic Coast Airlines has a contract to carry United
passengers until 2010 but decided to start a separate
operation to take advantage of the mushrooming demand by
passengers for low-fare flights, and out of fear that a
bankruptcy judge would order it to renegotiate its
contracts with United at much lower fees, or void the
contracts altogether.

Mesa Airlines, meanwhile, made a hostile takeover bid for
Atlantic Coast and signed an deal with United to operate
its United Express flights if the bid succeeded.

In its notice of the action, the Justice Department asked
Atlantic Coast to turn over all documents related to Mesa
and United by Jan. 9, the airline said. A spokeswoman for
the department would not comment. Mesa and United also did
not comment.

United executives have said that resolving the battle
between Atlantic Coast and Mesa is one hurdle they must
clear to emerge from bankruptcy protection. Getting the
federal loan guarantees is an even bigger hurdle.

United executives expressed confidence yesterday that their
second bid for loan guarantees would be approved, based on
a business plan that was much more conservative than the
rosy forecast they presented to the government last year.

But competing airline executives and industry analysts
predicted that United's reapplication would be the subject
of an intense political battle.United submitted its revised
application to the Air Transportation Stabilization Board,
which was formed after the September 2001 terrorist
attacks.

Since its formation, the board has guaranteed loans to
American Trans Air, America West Airlines and US Airways.
United, which made its first request in June 2002, was by
far the biggest airline to seek its help, and the only one
among the six major United States carriers to do so.

But last December, the loan board rejected United's initial
application, saying that its business plan was unrealistic
given the sharp decline in air travel after the stock
market peaked, the economy slumped and the terrorist
attacks discouraged many travelers. The board's decision to
reject United's first application came after aggressive
lobbying against United by a number of competitors, led by
Continental Airlines.

United filed for Chapter 11 protection shortly after the
board rejected its request. Since then, United has moved to
become more competitive. Notably, it obtained $2.56 billion
a year in wage and benefit concessions from its labor
unions, after asking a bankruptcy court judge to void their
contracts.

It has identified $5 billion in cost savings through 2005,
and it has announced plans for a low-fare carrier, called
Ted, which will begin service on a few routes in February.

Glenn F. Tilton, chief executive of United's parent, the
UAL Corporation, has also worked to build relationships
with his own employees and with officials in Washington,
where he has enlisted House Speaker J. Dennis Hastert as
his main ally. Mr. Hastert, Republican of Illinois, has
used his influence in recent months to promote United's
case. United is based in Elk Grove Village, Ill., near
Chicago.

Earlier this week, United won commitments from J. P. Morgan
Chase and Citigroup for $2 billion in financing, which it
would get once it secures the federal loan guarantees and
emerges from bankruptcy protection. The banks would provide
$400 million in loans, on top of the $1.6 billion in
guarantees sought from the government.

"United's restructuring plan was designed to create a
competitive, profitable company and to address the concerns
raised by the A.T.S.B. last year," Mr. Tilton said.

He said the new business plan that the company presented to
the loan board "reflects a substantially stronger company."
United has not made the details public.

The airline said, however, that its assumptions, the same
given to its lenders, were conservative. Unlike last year's
plan, which forecast a quick rebound, for example, the new
plan predicts that the slumping airline industry will grow
only as fast as the broader economy and will not return to
peaks seen in the late 1990's, according to a person who
was briefed on it.

In the industry's boom years, the airline industry
accounted for nine-tenths of a percentage point of gross
domestic product. That level has since slipped to about
six-tenths of a point, because of the decline in revenues
that has taken place as business travel has fallen and
low-fare carriers have grabbed more market share.

Robert W. Mann Jr., an industry analyst based in Port
Washington, N.Y., said the onus was on United to portray
its prospects accurately, and to realistically anticipate
the competitive pressures it will face in the future. "They
had an incomplete last time," Mr. Mann said, using a
report-card metaphor. "They're going back to submit for a
grade now. You're either going to fail the course this
time, or you're going to have to pass it."

United, which initially predicted it could emerge from
bankruptcy protection by now, has since said it plans to
emerge during the first half of 2004. However, lawyers for
the company said recently that the timetable might be
pushed back further into 2004.

Some in the industry say United may need longer than that
to emerge from bankruptcy protection. The airline faces a
series of problems that must be solved before it can
develop a restructuring plan and exit Chapter 11
protection.

The most pressing, aside from the Atlantic Coast Airlines
situation, is to find a solution to its underfunded pension
plans. Because it fell behind on pension payments before it
filed for bankruptcy protection, United must make hundreds
of millions of dollars in catch-up payments over the next
18 months, in addition to its normal funding payments. The
airline said that it did not have the cash to make the
payments and run its operations.

United has sought both Congressional legislation and
waivers from the Internal Revenue Service that would allow
it to stretch out those payments. But Congress adjourned
for the year without acting and the I.R.S. has yet to rule
on its request.

The pension issue was cited as a reason the loan board
rejected United's request last year. In a letter to the
company, the board said even if United obtained an I.R.S.
waiver, United's required payments would remain
"substantial."

But United has reduced its future pension obligations by
$1.2 billion through labor contract concessions, said
Frederic F. Brace III, its chief financial officer. Mr.
Brace said he was confident the situation could be
resolved. "We've reduced our funding," he said, "improved
our business plan, and improved cash flow. Coupled with
some modest legislative relief in pension reform, that
makes it work."

Should United fail to get that relief, or the I.R.S.
waivers, it could petition the bankruptcy court for
permission to void its union pension plans.

Executives at competing airlines, who asked not to be
identified, said United's case to the A.T.S.B. may be made
more difficult by the deteriorating fortunes at US Airways.
It obtained $900 million in loan guarantees when it emerged
from bankruptcy protection earlier this year, but has
encountered rocky financial times since then. Management
recently told unions it must revise the business plan on
which it based its emergence, citing competition from
low-fare carriers.

Executives at several carriers predicted United would face
opposition to its application.

Mr. Mann agreed debate would be lively. "I don't see this
as a slam dunk at all. I see it as just the opposite," he
said. Because United is asking for almost twice as much as
US Airways, the loan board could say, " 'We have to take a
very circumspect view with regard to this big nut in front
of us,' " Mr. Mann said.

Mary Williams Walsh contributed reporting for this article.


http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/19/business/19air.html?ex=1072842020&ei=1&en=0ffc3fba1a554a84


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