NYTimes.com Article: United Delays Its Emergence From Chapter 11 Until Next Year

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United Delays Its Emergence From Chapter 11 Until Next Year

August 30, 2003
 By MICHELINE MAYNARD and MARY WILLIAMS WALSH






Shifting course yet again, United Airlines said yesterday
that it did not expect to emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy
proceedings this year after all, blaming an uncertain
economic outlook for prolonging its work on a restructuring
plan.

United officials told a United States Bankruptcy Court in
Chicago that the airline now expected to leave Chapter 11
protection sometime in the first half of 2004. United, a
unit of UAL, is the nation's second-largest airline behind
American Airlines.

Last spring, executives at United, including its chief
executive, Glenn F. Tilton, projected that the airline
would emerge from bankruptcy as early as December, a year
after it sought court protection. At that time, the airline
also signaled that its restructuring proposal would be
ready by September or October.

Those projections were made when Wall Street was
criticizing United for dragging its feet on drafting a
comeback plan. In particular, analysts noted that US
Airways, the seventh-largest carrier, required only eight
months to prepare a restructuring plan and emerge from
bankruptcy protection after it filed for Chapter 11 last
summer.

United's optimism also coincided with the start of the busy
summer travel season, a critical time for airlines. United,
like its competitors, suffered a sluggish start to the year
because of terrorism fears, the war in Iraq and the
outbreaks of severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS.

In hindsight, analysts said that Mr. Tilton's bullishness
might have been more an effort to build optimism about
United's fortunes among customers and investors, rather
than to provide a working timetable. In any case, the
latest shift in timing puts United back pretty much to its
initial estimate, made at the time it filed for bankruptcy
protection, that it would emerge in early 2004.

In court testimony yesterday, James Sprayregen, United's
lead bankruptcy lawyer, said the main reason for the delay
was the uncertain atmosphere surrounding the airline
industry, which is expected to lose $8 billion this year on
top of steep losses in 2002 and 2001.

Airlines have enjoyed strong traffic this summer, and
United has accumulated a healthy cash balance, which stood
at $2.3 billion in July. But executives throughout the
travel industry widely expect sluggish bookings to resume
after Labor Day.

"It still remains to be seen whether the revenue recovery
will be short-lived or long-lived," Mr. Sprayregen said.

Earlier this year, United obtained $2.56 billion in wage
and benefit concessions from its unions, after asking the
court to impose them if union members did not agree. It has
cut costs and routes, and has been involved in negotiations
with the airports it serves, its bondholders and the
leaseholders on its airplanes in an attempt to save more
money.

The most important milestone facing the airline is its new
application to the Air Transportation Stabilization Board
for $900 million in federal loan guarantees, which would
provide the centerpiece of its financing plan to emerge
from bankruptcy.

United's bankruptcy filing followed the stabilization
board's rejection of the airline's initial application for
loan guarantees, which the board criticized as incomplete
and based on overly rosy assumptions. United updated that
application twice during the stabilization board's
deliberations, as competitors complained that United was
being unrealistic.

This time, United officials have been told the board wants
to see just one version of a plan, people close to the
discussions said. But forecasts about the future direction
of the industry are proving tough to pin down, given the
uncertain economic climate, these people said, giving
United a reason to wait.

The airline has not decided when it will submit a plan, Mr.
Sprayregen said yesterday. It most likely would submit
proposals simultaneously to the stabilization board, its
creditors and the bankruptcy court.

Despite United's caution, Kevin P. Mitchell, chairman of
the Business Travel Coalition, representing business
travelers and corporate travel departments, said that
United's latest move could cause his members to lose faith
in the airline out of frustration with its pronouncements.

For example, United insisted after its bankruptcy filing
that it had to create a separate low-fare carrier. It has
since stepped back from that plan, which was nicknamed
Starfish.

"It looks like they're lurching from one tactic to another,
from one strategy to another," Mr. Mitchell said.

Another issue facing the airline is whether it needs to
take action regarding its four employee pension funds,
which have an unfunded liability of $6 billion to $7.5
billion. The plans cover roughly 145,000 employees and
retirees.

Not all of the pension funds are in equally bad shape. At
the end of 2001, the most recent period with information
available, the ground employees' plan was about 99 percent
funded, the pilots' plan was 98 percent funded, and the
administrative employees' plan was about 93 percent funded,
according to documents at the Labor Department. However,
the flight attendants' plan was only 88 percent funded, and
all those levels almost assuredly have fallen because of
the decline in the stock market last year, experts said.

People inside and outside the company said United was
considering options that included postponing some of its
pension contributions, contributing its own stock to the
pension plans, freezing benefit accruals, and terminating
one or more of its pension plans entirely.

In addition, United is one of several airlines seeking
pension relief through proposed legislation that would
exempt all the major airlines from the rules governing
pension funding. Such a bill is pending in the House, but
it is considered a long shot. While proponents say the
airlines have unique problems that merit special relief,
others say that giving pension relief to the airlines would
prompt other troubled industries to demand relief as well,
leading to further pension deficits and putting benefits at
risk.

Other airlines have been allowed to take extraordinary
measures to cope with their pension obligations. US Airways
won court permission to cancel its pilots' plan, which
guaranteed a high level of benefits, and replace it with a
version that was less secure. Northwest Airlines won
government approval to contribute stock of its Pinnacle
Airlines unit to its pension plan, in lieu of cash.

Although United does not have a subsidiary comparable to
Pinnacle, it could use its new shares after reorganization
to help shore up its employee pension plans. That could
meet with employee resistance, given their experience with
the employee stock ownership plan that was wiped out by
bankruptcy. And if United wanted to make a significant
stock contribution - more than 10 percent of pension fund
assets - it would have to get special approval from the
Labor Department.

United could also conserve cash by postponing some of its
annual pension contributions. Such postponements are
regulated by the Internal Revenue Service, which allows any
pension plan to waive up to three annual contributions in
any 15-year period.

The waivers do not come automatically. The I.R.S. has
tightened its requirements in recent years. Companies must
now post collateral for the amount waived, and for any
waiver over $1 million, the I.R.S. consults with the agency
that insures pensions on whether the collateral is
adequate. That agency, the Pension Benefit Guaranty
Corporation, has tightened its standards as well, after
being left holding unusual assets like airport gates and
buildings after previous pension defaults.

United is not facing a cash shortage yet, however, despite
its pension deficit. It was able to avoid making any cash
contributions in 2001, 2002 or in the first half of this
year, because the plans built up large "credit balances"
during the stock market boom of the late 1990's.

Pension rules allow actuaries to book a pension fund's
stock market gains as if they were, in fact, cash
contributions by the sponsoring company. If the stock
market then falls, these accounting entries remain on the
books, where they may be used in subsequent years to offset
the contributions the company would otherwise have to make.


United has disclosed that it expects to use up the
remainder of its credit balances in the second half of this
year, and that it might have to contribute $4.2 billion to
its various pension funds by the end of 2008.

http://www.nytimes.com/2003/08/30/business/30JETS.html?ex=1063291395&ei=1&en=6718c037813449fa


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