Dave Siegel - Morgan Stanley Debt Investors Conference

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> Remarks of David Siegel
> President & Chief Executive Officer, US Airways
> To the Morgan Stanley Debt Investors Conference
> New York, NY
>
> Good afternoon. Thank you for that nice introduction and for the invitation to speak with you
> here today.
>
> I don?t have to tell anyone in this room that these are extraordinary times in the airline
> industry, but for emphasis, let me just say that these are extraordinary times in the airline
> industry. When I first joined with Northwest Airlines back in 1991, I had a senior manager pull
> me aside one day to tell me: ?This is an unprecedented time for the industry. Never before had
> we had the confluence of an economic downturn, overcapacity, high fuel prices, an industry
> liquidity crisis, high labor costs, war and fears of terrorism. Take it all in,? he told me,
> ?because you will never see anything like this again.?
>
> I only wish he would have been wrong. Or at least half wrong. Because a dozen years later, the
> airline industry is grappling with the same set of circumstances ? magnified ? and now we have
> the SARS epidemic too.
>
> So when I came to US Airways a little more than a year ago, it was with the full knowledge that
> we had a steep mountain to climb. And beyond the lousy set of circumstances in our operating
> environment, the world of commercial aviation has changed forever ? especially for business
> travel, which has always been the cornerstone of our profitability. Business travel buying and
> behavior patterns are part of this new world that is forever changed. Just as the NASDAQ at
> 5,000 and the 28-year-old dot-com millionaires are a faint memory, so too, are the corporate
> travel budgets that had no limits.
>
> Business travelers now shop with price in mind. Not to the extent of Aunt Martha who will only
> fly when the fare falls below $200, but they are now bargain shoppers nonetheless. They stay
> over a Saturday night. They book their travel 21 days in advance. They do all kinds of things to
> save money that they would not have done in the go-go days of the ?90s. And, they are assisted
> by perfect price information that is now available to each and every one of us via the Internet.
>
> At US Airways, our restructuring strategy recognized these and other factors of this new world
> of commercial aviation. At the core was the requirement that we reduce our costs, because
> airline revenues will likely never be generated at the rates they once were. We have to be able
> to compete with all airlines ? large network carriers and small niche operators, full-service
> and low-fare airlines alike ? and we have to be able to do so profitably. So lowering our cost
> structure was critical.
>
> With the help and support of our employees, we have been able to do just that. Overall, we have
> reduced our costs almost $2 billion on an average, annualized basis over the next seven years.
> That includes more than $1 billion per year in reduced labor costs that were reached through
> consensual negotiations, as well as reduced fleet, vendor, and other operating costs.
>
> Our strategy was also based on building a business plan, articulating it to our important
> constituencies, and sticking to it. We looked at our strengths and weaknesses, and devised a way
> to leverage our strengths and turn our weaknesses into assets. Some looked at our route network
> and criticized us for being too concentrated in the east and too focused on smaller cities.
>
> We, on the other hand, looked at our network and saw something else:
> The major carrier east of the Mississippi, where 60 percent of the nation?s population and
> wealth reside.
> Strong positions in the major business markets of Boston, New York and Washington, with
> excellent facilities and slot holdings at the preferred airports of Logan, LaGuardia and Reagan
> National, respectively.
> A network of nearly 200 communities. We are the only carrier at 40 of them, and the number one
> or number two carrier at two-thirds of them.
> An active frequent flyer base of 4.5 million customers.
> A growing route network to the Caribbean and an excellent transatlantic gateway at Philadelphia,
> both which play off our strength on the east coast.
> And most importantly, tremendously resourceful and loyal employees fully dedicated to customer
> service.
> Consequently, our business plan is built on a platform that seeks to leverage these strengths:
>
> We have maintained service to all but a handful of the communities we serve.
> We are going to deploy more than 300 regional jets to better serve the small to medium-sized
> cities of our network, and give us the ability to open new markets.
> We have entered into an alliance with United Airlines, who?s strong Midwest, West Coast and
> Asian presence complements our network in the east.
> We have revamped our hubs at Charlotte, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh to improve their operations
> and focus.
> We have begun to rebuild our operations at Boston, New York and Washington, and will continue to
> recapture the market positions that we gave up due to our cost structure, and the focus on our
> proposed merger with United which limited our ability to compete.
> Our entire restructuring ? as you would expect ? was designed for success. And from the
> beginning, we stated very clearly to our stakeholders that we must restructure the company, and
> that if we complete the process on a voluntary basis, we would do it through bankruptcy. So
> filing for bankruptcy was not seen by us as a failure. Rather it was an alternative path to
> execute the restructuring.
>
> So, when we did file for Chapter 11 protection, it wasn?t a great shock to our customers or
> employees. We did not lose market share during this restructuring ? in fact, we actually
> recaptured market share once we filed for bankruptcy protection, after experiencing a small
> decline last May when we first uttered the possibility of the ?B? word. And, according to the
> Department of Transportation monthly consumer reports, our employees have delivered the most
> consistent customer service over the past two years, and we?ve even led the industry during most
> of this restructuring period.
>
> Throughout this process, we maintained a consistent message and vision, and stuck to our plan
> built around lowering costs, increasing revenues and improving liquidity. When we came to the
> conclusion that we had to execute our plan with a Chapter 11 filing, we jumped in the pool to
> swim some laps, got in shape, and then got out. We didn?t fall or get pushed in by accident,
> only to flail around searching for a way out. And while we had some challenges along the way, we
> remained on track. With some minor tweaks, the plan of reorganization confirmed by the court is
> pretty much the same plan that we articulated to our employees last spring.
>
> For your benefit, however, I thought it would be useful to share with you some of my thoughts on
> why we were successful in this sprint through bankruptcy. According to BankruptcyData.com, our
> case was the fastest-ever successful bankruptcy organization of a large, publicly-traded
> company, but that?s probably why we faced some doubters when we filed on August 11 and announced
> our fast-track ambitions.
>
> The fact was that we had little choice. Ultimately, the target date was decided for us because
> the agreement with the bank that handled all of our VISA and MasterCard transactions was set to
> expire last December 31, and they would only extend the agreement until March 31. Since we could
> not replace the credit card processor until after emergence, it was a deadline that was pretty
> simply understood. So everything we did and every decision we made was done within the context
> of the overall question, ?Does this allow us to stay on track with our March 31 deadline??
>
> If you will indulge me, let me now share with you Siegel?s Seven Suggestions for Success, Speed
> and Sanity in managing a Chapter 11 process.
>
> First, I remembered something my mentor, Gordon Bethune of Continental Airlines taught me: ?The
> sickest patients need the best doctors.? So we hired the very best restructuring advisers in the
> country. That meant hiring John Luth and the Seabury Group who have a proven track record of
> success, and have since taken their well-earned reputation across the border to help Air Canada
> with its current restructuring.
>
> Second, we set up a team-oriented process that involved all of our senior management and
> completely integrated our lead financial and legal advisers into the team. The company?s
> executive committee plus advisers started each day with a restructuring meeting in which the
> events and accomplishments of the previous day, the priorities for that day, and the issues and
> potential problems for the future were identified and discussed. Early on we even met twice a
> day ? in the morning, and again in the afternoon. Our various departments did not operate in
> silos from which people made independent decisions or were kept out of the loop. Marketing,
> labor relations, operations, finance, legal and public relations leaders of the company came
> together each day and participated in finding solutions. Everyone understood the tasks. And the
> effort was enhanced from the collective wisdom, experience and skills that were brought to my
> conference room each morning.
>
> Third, we went into bankruptcy with exit financing already lined up. The federal loan guarantee
> program established after September 11 provided us with the first tranche. The promise of that
> $1 billion loan then gave us leverage to find both a DIP lender and equity plan sponsor ?
> originally a $200 million equity investment by Texas Pacific Group, later replaced by the $240
> million investment from the Retirement Systems of Alabama ? both with a $500 million DIP
> facility as part of the package. But the initial involvement of TPG ? the premier private equity
> firm in aviation ? brought us expert advice and instant credibility in the marketplace.
>
> Fourth, we communicated consistently, constantly and clearly to all stakeholders. We didn?t tell
> employees one thing, and elected officials something else. Our legal filings didn?t contradict
> what we told the news media. Our marketing communications complemented what we told our
> creditors committee. Now I?m not saying that everyone heard the same thing, because that is
> something we can?t always control. But we did not create crises by springing surprises or
> delivering conflicting or inconsistent messages.
>
> Fifth, we purposely interlocked various milestones in the case to force discipline on the
> process. Our draws on the DIP were tied to the federal loan guarantee process. Our negotiations
> with labor were governed by deadlines in the court process. There was no room for error, so we
> built an air-tight process that didn?t let anyone think that a deadline could be changed. It
> made for some very long nights and a few rough mornings, but ultimately, it kept us on track.
>
> Sixth, we put a human face on the company. It was our bankruptcy counsel Jack Butler?s wise
> advice that the senior management team actively participate in the legal proceedings. So we were
> at every court hearing. And we attended every creditors' committee meeting. Not just me. Or not
> just our CFO or General Counsel. But the entire senior management team in various combinations
> was in the courtroom and at the creditors? committee meetings. It didn?t convince anyone who
> otherwise was a skeptic. But it did demonstrate that the management team was actively engaged
> and fully committed to a successful restructuring.
>
> And finally, we kept our eyes on the prize. Every time someone raised the possibility of staying
> in bankruptcy longer and looking for some way to extend the March 31 date, we ended up in the
> same place: only after we emerged could we access the $1 billion federal loan and the $240
> million of new equity. There was a $1.24 billion pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, but it
> was only available after bankruptcy. Ultimately, that was the absolute right call. With the rest
> of the industry scrambling to deal with the impact of war, we now have a cleaned up balance
> sheet, permanent cost reductions, and access to cash that our competitors don?t.
>
> All things being equal, reporting to you on what we have achieved is the easy part, despite the
> grueling tasks we faced the last 12 months. The real trick is to try and predict where the
> industry goes from here. Our restructuring was just the tip of the iceberg. Every other major
> U.S. airline is struggling to develop and implement its own plan to lower costs and define its
> future in the industry. Ultimately, it is in our interest to have a healthy industry, in which
> supply, demand and price, labor and other costs are all in balance. But we?re a ways off from
> the industry being there.
>
> This year marks the 25th anniversary of the Airline Deregulation Act. Consumers have clearly
> benefited from an open market, through lower prices, better service and more competition. I
> can?t say that airline investors have fared as well.
>
> But one of the more interesting aspects of the past decade is the impact of low-cost carriers on
> the industry. The Southwests, JetBlues and AirTrans of the world have grown from niche players
> to market leaders. And in the process, they have had a radical impact on all aspects of the
> business, forcing numerous changes and efficiencies on the rest of the industry. Think about it:
>
> Low cost carriers ? with their low fares ? are the pricing leaders in the industry.
> Simplified fleets of similar planes are now the standard, having replaced the literally dozen or
> so aircraft types that we and most major airlines typically flew.
> Distribution costs have been drastically reduced through the development and growth of
> ticketless travel and the Internet.
> Traditional network carriers struggle to achieve the labor costs and work rule efficiencies to
> be competitive with the upstart carriers.
> From your perspective as debt investors, there is also another important wrinkle that you should
> be watching as you follow this industry. Specifically, the public debt associated with airport
> financing. For I predict that airport costs are part of the next wave of aviation industry
> restructuring. The seemingly insatiable public appetite for air travel led to the development of
> too many planes and too many hubs chasing too few passengers. Furthermore, airports and airlines
> built very expensive and elaborate facilities that transformed airports into destinations unto
> themselves. And in the process, we lost sight of the fact that above all else, passengers want
> airports that are efficient, convenient, and affordable, contributing to the overall desire for
> low-cost air transportation.
>
> So just as airlines expanded too much in the last decade, so too have airports. And the debt is
> coming home to roost, so to speak. My mentor Gordon also used to say ?You can?t win a horse race
> with a 300 pound jockey.? Well, at our hub at Pittsburgh, it costs us close to $9 for each
> passenger who uses that airport. And $8 of that $9 per passenger cost goes directly service the
> $675 million debt of that facility.
>
> Now Pittsburgh is a great airport. But as impressive as it is, and as much as people like
> connecting there to shop the stores of the airport mall, not one passenger is willing to pay us
> extra for the privilege of connecting at our Pittsburgh hub. So when we look at comparable-sized
> cities and hub airports like Charlotte, St. Louis or Cincinnati, the high debt load for
> Pittsburgh International Airport really makes it an uncompetitive place to do business.
>
> Prior to our emerging from bankruptcy, we rejected our Pittsburgh facility leases, effective
> next January, with the goal of renegotiating those leases and lowering our costs. I believe that
> the issues at play at Pittsburgh will soon confront other airport and other airlines as the
> industry continues to restructure. And as we have stressed to the Pittsburgh community political
> and business leadership, it is really in the region?s interest to work with us to find a
> solution. Whether it be to maintain our hub at Pittsburgh, or to attract other airlines to serve
> or expand at the airport, making it a cost-competitive place to do business is going to be
> critical for the future of Pittsburgh. And moving forward, investors are going to need to
> carefully scrutinize plans for airport growth and development to make sure they are based on the
> cost efficiencies that airline consumers now demand.
>
> Thank you.


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