Guarding against missiles

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Guarding against missiles
By Fred Bayles, USA TODAY

Police and, in some instances, the National Guard are patrolling the=20
perimeters and flight approaches of airports in Los Angeles, Chicago,=20
Orlando and other major cities in an effort to stop terrorists from=20
shooting down passenger jets with shoulder-fired missiles. In San=20
Francisco, New York and Washington, Coast Guard boats keep watch near=20
waterfront runways. Boston Harbor clam diggers use cell phones to report=20
suspicious activity near Logan International. The increased surveillance is=
=20
the first step in federal efforts to protect airliners that take off and=20
land an average of 170,000 times a day. Federal officials won't talk about=
=20
pending strategies to prevent terrorists from launching heat-seeking=20
missiles at passenger planes. But an unreleased FAA study lists the use of=
=20
airborne patrols, ground checkpoints, observation posts and high-intensity=
=20
lights in areas adjacent to airports. Although there has never been an=20
attack in the USA and federal officials discount the immediacy of the=20
threat, some members of Congress have proposed putting anti-missile systems=
=20
on airliners within the next year.

One sponsor, Sen. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., says that with thousands of the=
=20
missiles on the black market and previous  attacks on jets overseas, the=20
risk to the flying public and the airline industry is too great to not take=
=20
action. "The damage a terrorist attack could do would be devastating,"=20
Schumer says. "Do you think anyone would fly for three to six months after=
=20
an attack?" Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge also sees the possible=20
use of anti-missile systems on airliners in the future, but only after more=
=20
study. "I think the first public dollars we ought to expend should be to=20
take a look at the technology itself to see if adaptation can be made," he=
=20
told a gathering of reporters recently. Security experts agree there is no=
=20
fast or easy fix. They say airport surveillance is limited against a weapon=
=20
that can be launched from a pickup, boat or rooftop. Many shoulder-launched=
=20
missiles can hit a jet 4 miles away at altitudes of more than 10,000 feet.=
=20
According to the FAA report, that would give terrorists a 150-square-mile=20
area around an airport in which to hide and fire at aircraft that are=20
taking off or circling to land.
Congress' hopes for a quick technological solution may be optimistic, too,=
=20
they say. Adding a complex system of countermeasures to jets could take=20
years to do safely. "There is no silver bullet," says James Loy, head of=20
the Transportation Security Agency (TSA), which is responsible for air=20
travel safety.

Some federal officials also caution that the threat of shoulder-launched=20
missiles may be overstated. So far, they have a poor record against=20
passenger jets; only one has been downed in six attacks. "These weapons=20
pose a threat, but there is no specific credible evidence that they are in=
=20
the hands of terrorists in the United States or that they plan to use them=
=20
to shoot down airliners," says Brian Roehrkasse, a spokesman for the=20
Department of Homeland Security. The missiles, called Man Portable Air=20
Defense Systems, or MANPADS, weigh about 35 pounds and can be fired with=20
little training. Honing in on the heat from aircraft engines, the missiles=
=20
travel at more than 600 mph, three times the takeoff or landing speed of an=
=20
airliner. The U.S. version, the Stinger, contributed to the defeat of the=20
Soviet army in the 1980s in Afghanistan, where rebels used them to shoot=20
down assault helicopters and jet fighters. About 700,000 MANPADS have been=
=20
produced worldwide since the 1970s. The most common is the 30-year-old=20
Russian SA-7 Strela. The British, French and Chinese also produce them.=20
Intelligence agencies say Al-Qaeda and 26 known terrorist groups have=20
dozens of the weapons.

MANPADS have been used in 35 attacks against civilian airplanes in Africa,=
=20
Asia, Afghanistan and Central America; 24 were shot down, killing more than=
=20
500 people. All but one of the planes shot down were propeller planes. The=
=20
only jet, a Congo Airlines Boeing 727, was shot down by rebels in 1998. In=
=20
May, Al-Qaeda terrorists fired an SA-7 at a U.S. military jet taking off in=
=20
Saudi Arabia. In November, terrorists launched two SA-7s at an Israeli=20
charter jet leaving Mombasa, Kenya. Both attempts failed. The day after the=
=20
Mombasa attack, the White House formed a group to study the threat. In=20
December, the TSA surveyed about 80 major airports to identify=20
vulnerabilities. Two months ago, after London's Heathrow Airport was nearly=
=20
shut down by concerns of a possible missile attack, the TSA and FBI visited=
=20
22 of the largest airports to develop security plans. Officials decline to=
=20
identify the airports or talk about specific tactics. But an FAA study,=20
initiated in 1996, points to possible countermeasures.

They include:
=B7       Denying terrorists access to areas around the airport. While the=
=20
report considered this the most practical solution, it noted efforts would=
=20
require manpower from federal, state and local agencies. It is also far=20
from certain. Capt. Steve Luckey, chairman of the Air Line Pilots=20
Association's security committee, says neighborhoods around urban airports=
=20
such as Los Angeles International and San Diego offer too many hiding=20
places.  "I don't know how you can defend an airport surrounded by miles of=
=20
rooftops," he says.

=B7       Changing flight operations. Pilots could take off in faster,=20
steeper climbs and descend in spiraling turns over the airport to reduce=20
time spent at lower altitudes. Such changes would be difficult.  "It isn't=
=20
something that can easily be accomplished given the fixed navigational aids=
=20
used by the airplanes," says Ian Redhead of Airports Council International,=
=20
an airport trade association.

=B7       Installing countermeasures on airliners. Congress is considering a=
=20
$30 million appropriation to test a system of lasers and other devices to=20
throw heat-seeking missiles off target. Military aircraft already use=20
flares and lasers to divert missiles. Air Force One and El Al airliners are=
=20
believed to use similar devices.  "The technology already exists," says=20
Schumer, who favors a bill that would require the system to be installed in=
=20
5,000 airliners at an estimated cost of $8 billion. But aviation safety=20
experts say the use of flares and other incendiary devices creates safety=20
issues in the air and on the ground. They also worry about putting new=20
technology into the already complex systems of a jetliner. "It would take=20
five to 10 years to do the engineering work to add these systems to a fleet=
=20
of different aircraft," says Kevin Darcy, a former accident investigator=20
for Boeing.


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