Airlines brace for industry's bad news

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Airlines brace for industry's bad news
By Dan Reed, USA TODAY

Commanding a dizzying week of news from the nation's airlines, American
Airlines could seek bankruptcy-court protection as soon as Tuesday while
Delta Air Lines will launch a counterattack on low-fare airlines. There
will also be evidence of revenue's stubborn refusal to rebound from a 20%
fall the past two years. Led by Continental on Tuesday, airlines will begin
announcing first-quarter losses likely to top $3.2 billion, the worst
quarter on record. Some forecasts suggest no industry profit until 2005.
"The current revenue environment is so bad that you simply can't cut
expenses enough to return to profitability using cost cuts alone," says
Phil Baggaley of Standard & Poor's. "There's going to have to be some
improvement in the revenue picture." Predictions are that 500 newer-model
commercial jets in the next 18 months could join the 800 parked in the
western deserts since Sept. 11, 2001. Each jet represents more than 100
jobs lost.

Airlines to watch:

American. Pilots complete voting today on their parts of a concession
package worth $1.6 billion a year in savings to the world's largest
airline.  Flight attendants and ground workers finish voting Tuesday. If
any of the unions fails to ratify the tentative deals, American's parent,
AMR, is expected to file for Chapter 11 protection from creditors. American
added modest improvements to its proposals last week to coax workers'
approval, but ratification remains in doubt.

Delta. Its low-fare brand Song will make its maiden flight Tuesday between
New York and West Palm Beach, Fla. More routes will be added in coming
months.  Song's fares top out at $299 one way. It is the latest effort by a
full-service airline to compete against discounters JetBlue and Southwest,
which are profitable and popular with passengers. Most industry experts and
rivals are skeptical about Song's chances for profitability because it will
fly larger, harder-to-fill planes than Delta's current low-fare operation,
Delta Express, and its pilots are paid Delta's industry-leading rates.

United. Pilots overwhelmingly ratified concessions saving United $1 billion
a year for six years. That is about 40% of what United is seeking from all
labor groups in its bankruptcy reorganization. Other big unions have
concession votes pending.  Pilots union Chairman Paul Whiteford said Sunday
that critics "can't complain that labor is the problem" at United. "Now,
management has the responsibility to use the tools it's been given," he
said. Contributing: Marilyn Adams


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