Airlines cut flights as demand dries up

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Airlines cut flights as demand dries up
By Barbara De Lollis, USA TODAY

No matter how quickly the United States unseats Saddam Hussein, airlines=20
are starting to bet against a fast rebound in international travel.=20
Singapore Airlines on Thursday cut 65 weekly flights =97 including 14 to=20
Chicago, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, New York and San Francisco =97 from April=
=20
through May 31. Continental Airlines this week cut its schedule to London=20
and Tokyo from April through May 1. Airlines say international bookings are=
=20
off sharply because of travelers' concerns about the war and terrorism. How=
=20
fast they rebound is a worry: International flying generates about 30% of=20
annual revenue for some big airlines, and the usually busy summer season is=
=20
not far off. More announcements are expected. American says it will cut=20
international flights by 6% in April by cutting selected flights to Europe=
=20
and Latin America. It's not just vacationers that airlines are worried=20
about. Many businesses are restricting international travel to "essential"=
=20
trips. About a fifth of the 123 large companies surveyed by the Business=20
Travel Coalition have banned international travel for at least awhile. "It=
=20
could be well into 2003 before U.S. citizens feel relatively safe traveling=
=20
again, and such a scenario would likely portend the collapse of the=20
domestic U.S. commercial aviation system," says Kevin Mitchell, head of the=
=20
coalition.

Travel agencies say they were flooded with phone calls from travelers=20
considering changing their travel plans, but new bookings fell. TQ3 Travel=
=20
Solutions saw airline ticket sales fall 50% from normal volume, Rosenbluth=
=20
International saw a 28% decline, and WorldTravel BTI, a 12% drop-off,=20
mostly because of lower demand for international travel. "What we saw after=
=20
Sept. 11 is happening now," says Dee Runyan, a WorldTravel executive vice=20
president. "North Atlantic travel is drying up. People don't want to be far=
=20
from home." Trans-Pacific travel is headed in the same direction, she says,=
=20
because of the mystery illness scare. The World Health Organization issued=
=20
warnings last week about a deadly, contagious form of pneumonia that's=20
being spread across the globe by air travelers. Most of the cases have been=
=20
in Asia. Some companies are reacting differently: WorldTravel says bookings=
=20
are holding for pharmaceutical companies, for instance, as well as for many=
=20
companies' sales and consulting divisions.  Consulting firm=20
PriceWaterhouseCoopers  says bookings are holding steady, despite travel=20
restrictions for eight countries begun this week. Jones Lang LaSalle, a=20
commercial real estate firm, says its international trips are off 20% to=20
30%. Bob Rea, a senior vice president, says he doesn't expect the dip to=20
last long. "We think the risk is greater right now than it's going to be=20
later," he says.




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