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 United Airlines Parent Posts Record Loss
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 By Dave CarpenterCHICAGO ––  United Airlines' parent company rep=
orted a record $1.5 billion loss for the fourth quarter Friday, punctuating=
 an abysmal year in which it descended into bankruptcy.<P>UAL Corp. lost a =
worst-ever $3.2 billion for the year, accounting for roughly one third of t=
he industry's combined losses. Only American Airlines did more poorly, spil=
ling $3.5 billion in red ink in 2002.<P>If United, the world's second-large=
st carrier, does not turn its situation around quickly, analysts say it ris=
ks losing critical Chapter 11 financing and increases the possibility of li=
quidation.<P>The entire industry has been in crisis since the Sept. 11, 200=
1, terrorist attacks compounded existing problems from an economic downturn=
, and recovery prospects remain murky. Major U.S. airlines have racked up $=
3 billion in losses for the fourth quarter and $9 billion for all of 2002. =
US Airways, which is also in bankruptcy, is expected to report its results =
next week.<P>CEO Glenn Tilton said United did everything within its control=
 in 2002 to reduce its industry-leading costs and that more "difficult but =
critical" changes will be made through the bankruptcy process. He has not y=
et disclosed details of the company's blueprint for becoming leaner and pro=
fitable again, pledging only that United will "compete aggressively" in 200=
3.<P>That said, the carrier expects another "significant" loss during the f=
irst quarter because of lackluster demand from business travelers and weake=
r international bookings, especially in the Pacific region, a long-time str=
ength for United. A war in Iraq also would worsen the airline's predicament=
.<P>"This was the quarter when they were sliding into bankruptcy, so it's n=
ot surprising that the results are pretty dismal," said Philip Baggaley, ai=
rline analyst for Standard &amp; Poor's Corp., calling the fourth-quarter n=
umbers "predictably horrendous."<P>He said United's operating performance t=
his quarter will be key in determining whether it meets its first big bench=
mark in bankruptcy on Feb. 28. The banks providing United's bankruptcy fina=
ncing could demand that United repay $700 million already provided to it if=
 it hasn't shown strict, specific cash-flow improvement by that date.<P>Bag=
galey said it's difficult to gauge whether United is on track to meet the r=
equirement. He estimated that United had $1.3 billion in unrestricted cash =
at the end of the year.<P>"They got interim labor concessions faster than t=
hey expected, but fuel prices are higher and revenue is likely to be weaker=
 &#150; particularly with war on the horizon &#150; than they expected," he=
 said.<P>The fourth-quarter deficit left UAL with a net loss of $3.21 billi=
on for the year &#150; far beyond its $2.1 billion deficit a year earlier.<=
P>UAL's net loss for the last three months of the year was $1.47 billion, o=
r $20.70 a share, compared with a fourth-quarter 2001 loss of $308 million,=
 or $5.68 a share.<P>Excluding certain items, United said the pro-forma los=
s was $9.65 per share &#150; better than the $13.81 consensus estimate of a=
nalysts surveyed by Thomson Financial.<P>Revenue fell 18 percent to $2.9 bi=
llion from $3.5 billion.<P>The loss easily exceeded the carrier's previous =
worst result, a $1.16 billion setback for the third quarter of 2001, when t=
he attacks accelerated United's losses and threw the industry into a tailsp=
in from which it has yet to recover.<P>It was United's tenth straight quart=
erly loss. Since last turning a profit in the second quarter of 2000, the a=
irline has lost $5.5 billion.<P>Airline analyst Ray Neidl said it was prema=
ture to judge United's emerging new business strategy until details are rel=
eased. The pilots' and flight attendants' unions have denounced that plan, =
which is expected to include the creation of a discount airline, as tantamo=
unt to a breakup of United.<P>"An airline within an airline has never worke=
d before," said Neidl, of New York-based Blaylock &amp; Partners. "But in b=
ankruptcy you've got a lot more latitude to put together an operation that =
could work," he said, including the ability to establish separate managemen=
t and employees and a lower cost structure.<P>He said United's employees ma=
y "come around to reason when they look at the alternative, which is total =
liquidation."<P>For the year, the net loss amounted to $53.55 per share, co=
mpared with a year-earlier loss of $40.04 a share. Revenues sank 11 percent=
 to $14.3 billion from $16.1 billion.<P>UAL shares fell 4 cents to $1.03 in=
 afternoon trading on the New York Stock Exchange.<P>&#150;&#150;&#150;<P>O=
n the Net:<P>www.united.com

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