NYTimes.com Article: Even by Bankruptcy Standards, This One Seems Different

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Even by Bankruptcy Standards, This One Seems Different

December 6, 2002
By MICHELINE MAYNARD and RIVA D. ATLAS






The size and complexity of an expected bankruptcy filing by
United Airlines suggests that it could take years for the
airline to emerge from bankruptcy, and then probably as a
radically smaller one, financial experts and bankruptcy
lawyers said yesterday.

Though a number of airlines have filed for bankruptcy
protection - notably Continental, T.W.A., Pan Am, Eastern
and lately, US Airways - a United reorganization stands to
be different for two main reasons.

Unlike the sickest of the bankrupt carriers, which had
stripped their operations in some cases to the core before
seeking reorganization, United is basically intact, meaning
that disassembling and the resulting trauma lie ahead - a
process that could easily last two years or more, and
perhaps not even succeed on the first try. Continental
underwent two attempts at reorganization before emerging
from bankruptcy in 1993.

Second, a United bankruptcy filing would be unusual because
of the deep involvement of its unions in its corporate
affairs. United is now making an intense push to line up as
much support from unions and big creditors as possible
ahead of what is expected to be a Chapter 11 filing.

Because their primary motivation is to preserve jobs, the
unions will have different priorities from other creditors.
And if the unions do not support the company's
reorganization plan, they could prolong the bankruptcy
process and perhaps even disrupt United's operations.

Even before a court filing, there is some speculation in
aviation circles and on Wall Street that if United does not
reach a consensus on a revival plan, its assets might
ultimately be liquidated in bankruptcy court to pay off its
debts. That possibility, while remote, points to the
difficult path ahead for United as it follows other
carriers down the bankruptcy path.

United's employees hold 55 percent of its deeply devalued
stock, along with three seats on the board and a loud voice
in company affairs. Through their unions, the employees
have not hesitated to express their displeasure with past
management, leading to the ouster over the last 14 months
of two chief executives.

The airline is haunted by the warning in October 2001 from
the chief executive then, James E. Goodwin, that United
could face its demise in 2002 unless it dealt with the
financial drain from its operations.

Mr. Goodwin's prediction prompted United's unions, led by
the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace
Workers, to demand his resignation, and subsequently that
of Mr. Goodwin's successor, John W. Creighton Jr., who
warned this summer that a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing
appeared inevitable.

His successor, United's current chief executive, Glenn F.
Tilton, was quick to provide reassurance in September that
bankruptcy was not a foregone conclusion. Mr. Tilton, a
company spokesman said, met yesterday with the leadership
of the Air Line Pilots Association, which represents
United's pilots. Conversations took place "all day long,"
between management and machinists' union representatives,
according to a union spokesman, Joe Tiberi.

The unions' pivotal role at the company makes it very
likely their representatives will be given seats on a
creditors' committee or another official committee, said
Joel Zweibel, who was the lawyer for creditors of Eastern
Airlines, and recently retired as the head of the
bankruptcy practice at O'Melveny & Myers in New York. In
the Eastern bankruptcy, the unions had three seats on the
committee, in an effort to ensure that employee concerns
were addressed.

The unions "often have different interests than other
creditors," Mr. Zweibel said.

Mr. Tiberi said he was not aware if the unions and the
company had discussed how many seats the unions might seek
on the creditors' committee, a decision that would be up to
the court-appointed bankruptcy trustee. The machinists were
represented on the creditors' committee at T.W.A., and have
a seat on the committee dealing with the bankruptcy at US
Airways, Mr. Tiberi said.

United has retained the Chicago law firm of Kirkland &
Ellis as its bankruptcy adviser. The machinists' union is
represented by Lowenstein Sandler. United's other unions
did not comment on their legal plans yesterday.

A bankruptcy filing might prompt United to abrogate its
labor agreements, which industry analysts say is the prime
reason for the airline's high costs. Under Section 1113 of
the United States Bankruptcy Code, companies have the right
to ask a judge to cancel a labor contract. But there is a
complicated set of conditions that must be met to win
approval, bankruptcy lawyers said.

If United tries to have its union agreements canceled, that
might be expected to anger workers, who could then stage a
slowdown by working according to the letter of their
contracts. United's pilots employed such a strategy in the
summer of 2000, snarling the airline's operations and
alienating some travelers.

If the employees stop working to their fullest, "United
could go into a downward spiral," a bankruptcy lawyer said.


The mere possibility that companies will ask the court to
vacate their labor agreements is often enough to press both
sides to reach a compromise. "It's like a threat to
strike," said Harvey Miller, the former head of the
bankruptcy practice at the law firm of Weil, Gotshal &
Manges, and now a managing director of Greenhill & Company,
an advisory firm.

United continued work yesterday to secure about $1.5
billion in financing that would support day-to-day
operations in a bankruptcy. It had sought about $2 billion
before the federal aid panel rejected its request for loan
guarantees.

The company is likely to delay any search for an outside
investor. When US Airways filed for bankruptcy last August,
it had the promise of an investment from the Texas Pacific
Group, which was outbid later by the Alabama pension fund.

In the weeks when it might have been seeking a partner,
United focused instead on the federal guarantees.

"In some ways, it's too late," a lawyer experienced in
airline bankruptcies said, adding that negotiations with
outside investors were probably at least six months away.

The rejection in a vote last week by United's mechanics of
their share of contract concessions may be a sign of the
difficulties that lie ahead in bankruptcy, said Wilbur L.
Ross Jr., an investor in distressed companies, who once
served as an adviser to creditors of airlines in
reorganization, including Continental and T.W.A.

"The thing I find most puzzling about this company," he
said, "is that they can't get together with their workers.
This is a very sad tale of worker democracy gone awry."

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/12/06/business/06BANK.html?ex=1040189666&ei=1&en=00beb48626b33e90



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