United faces deadline in next 21 days

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United faces deadline in next 21 days
By Marilyn Adams, USA TODAY

United Airlines' fortunes have been declining for two years, but the next=20
21 days will determine whether it becomes the biggest U.S. airline ever to=
=20
descend into bankruptcy. United says it's unable to make a nearly $400=20
million debt payment due Dec. 2 without an emergency loan guaranteed by the=
=20
government. Without the $1.8 billion loan, it will be forced into Chapter=20
11 bankruptcy protection. Top United officials were meeting Monday and=20
today with the federal Air Transportation Stabilization Board (ATSB) in=20
Washington about the airline's application for the loan guarantee. But a=20
daunting amount of work remains to be done for the carrier to qualify=20
before Dec. 2. To satisfy the loan board's conditions, United needs=20
ratified pay-cut agreements from all its labor unions by Nov. 30. Employees=
=20
have pledged $5.8 billion in pay and benefit cuts over 5 1/2 years. Members=
=20
of the pilots and flight attendants unions are voting on $2.6 billion in=20
contract concessions agreed to by their leaders. Pilots will finish voting=
=20
by Monday, but 23,000 flight attendants in bases around the world will need=
=20
until Nov. 30 to vote, union officials said. The airline hasn't reached an=
=20
agreement with leaders of the International Association of Machinists, its=
=20
largest union, which represents mechanics, ramp workers and ticket agents.=
=20
Members won't vote until a tentative deal is reached.

The next three weeks are critical, Tom Buffenbarger, national IAM=20
president, said in an interview Monday. "But we're making progress, and=20
we're optimistic" the deadline will be met. Last week, United announced a=20
German bank had agreed to restructure $500 million in debt. But United has=
=20
said that won't happen with the Dec. 2 debt, which is owed to a variety of=
=20
bondholders. If United were to make the debt payment without getting the=20
loan, its cash would "approach zero sometime during January," J.P. Morgan=20
analyst Jamie Baker projected Monday. United, the world's second-biggest=20
airline based on revenue, is burning through more than $7 million in cash=20
daily as travel demand and revenue remain weak 14 months after terrorists=20
destroyed two of its jets. It lost a record $2.1 billion in 2001 and has=20
posted $1.7 billion in losses this year.

Last week, the carrier's uphill fight became more clear when the loan board=
=20
=97 which had been silent on United's application =97 took the unusual step=
 of=20
making public a letter it sent the airline outlining gaps in its business=20
plan. Board executive director Dan Montgomery cited six areas in which=20
officials wanted more detail, including the wage cuts and revenue=20
projections, "before the ATSB can determine whether UAL (United's parent)=20
qualifies." United officials are playing down the ATSB letter and=20
emphasizing how much has been accomplished recently. In a taped message to=
=20
employees Monday, CEO Glenn Tilton called this "an incredibly challenging=20
time" and urged workers to "keep your heads up."

Contributing: Dan Reed

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