NYTimes.com Article: Taiwan Investigators Rule Out Blast or Pilot Error in 747 Crash

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Taiwan Investigators Rule Out Blast or Pilot Error in 747 Crash

June 25, 2002
By KEITH BRADSHER






TAIPEI, Taiwan, June 25 - Investigators analyzing the crash
last month of a China Airlines flight said today that the
flight data and cockpit voice recorders, together with
autopsies on the victims and an examination of the
wreckage, showed no evidence of an explosion or pilot
error.

The findings indicate that something probably went wrong
inside the aircraft, a Boeing 747-200, said Kay Yong, the
managing director of the Aviation Safety Council, the
government agency here that is conducting the
investigation.

Investigators are paying special attention to whether
structural failure or engine problems might have caused the
plane to break into four pieces in mid-flight. The crash of
the Hong Kong-bound flight into the Taiwan Strait on May 25
killed all 225 people aboard.

Searchers have recovered 162 bodies and 15 percent of the
wreckage, including part of the cockpit, and have found no
signs of burns or of any explosives or gunshots, Mr. Yong
said.

But China Airlines, which is struggling to preserve its
commercial viability after nine fatal crashes since 1970,
said that it was too soon to rule out "external forces," as
opposed to mechanical failure, as a cause of the crash.

Roger Ham, a company spokesman, said that only a small part
of Pan Am Flight 103, which was destroyed by a bomb over
Lockerbie, Scotland, had been burned. "You have to recover
all the wreckage to see what part is attacked or exploded,"
he said, while declining to comment on what China Airlines
thinks caused the crash.

Because it occurred in a heavily militarized area between
China and Taiwan, 20 miles north of Taiwan's huge naval
base in the Penghu Islands, there was speculation
immediately after the crash that a missile could have been
involved. But Mr. Yong and other Taiwanese officials have
repeatedly dismissed that idea, pointing out that there is
no radar evidence of a missile. Taiwan also has no history
of terrorism.

There was also early speculation that the aircraft's fuel
tank might have exploded. A fuel tank explosion was
implicated in the crash of Trans World Airlines Flight 800,
a Boeing 747-131, into the Atlantic Ocean off Long Island
shortly after takeoff on July 17, 1996. But Mr. Yong said
today that there was no evidence this happened to the China
Airlines flight.

On Monday the airline offered to pay $372,000 to each of
the families of the people who died. But the offer, made by
airline officials to a gathering of more than 300 relatives
of crash victims, drew a rancorous reception from some, who
said the company should pay $588,000 per victim, or twice
what it paid after a fatal crash in 1998, and called for
punitive damages.

Some families of crash victims have accused to airline, and
to a lesser extent Boeing, of ducking responsibility for
the crash. Lee Ham, a crash victim's son, said that China
Airlines was to blame for having kept a 23-year-old plane
in service too long. The aircraft crashed on its last
flight before it was to be sold to a small carrier in
Thailand.

Boeing declined to comment on today's statements by
investigators. But Ivy Takahashi, a company spokeswoman,
said that the plane that crashed had been on 21,398
flights, below the average of 23,000 flights for all Boeing
747-200s in service.

The breakup of China Airlines Flight 611 has drawn
international attention because it comes at a time of
increasing concern over how long older jets can remain
airworthy. Some research has suggested that metal fatigue
may be a particular problem in planes that are used
regularly in very warm, humid places like Taipei and Hong
Kong. But Boeing maintains that with proper maintenance,
aircraft aging should not be a problem.

The flight data recorder from Flight 611 shows that the
plane began gaining altitude at a significantly faster rate
in the 27 seconds before the plane broke apart, although
the extra gain in altitude was well within the plane's
design limits, Mr. Yong said at a news conference here
today. The plane was supposed to be leveling off then as it
approached its cruising altitude of 35,000 feet.

No one in the three-member flight crew said anything to
indicate an awareness of the extra lift, Mr. Yong said. The
autopilot had been engaged earlier in the flight, and there
is no evidence that it was turned off before the plane came
apart, he added.

Shortly before the breakup, one of the aircraft's four
engines began providing slightly less thrust. By
coincidence, the same engine is the only one that has been
recovered so far from the sea floor.

Phil Tai, the investigator overseeing the recovery of
wreckage, said that the engine was intact except for a tiny
piece that was missing from the nose cone. Many parts of
the engine had been split along the side, apparently when
they hit the water after falling more than five miles.

On Sunday, Mr. Yong had separately announced that the
cockpit voice recorder had picked up a dozen faint,
mysterious sounds in the 13 minutes before the plane came
apart. A computer disk with the sounds has been sent to the
United States for further analysis, which will take at
least a week, Mr. Yong said today.

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/25/international/25CND-TAIW.html?ex=1026035356&ei=1&en=70faee3829c260e9



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