SF Gate: Fleet Trader: With airlines in a dive, secretive leasing firm plays a crucial role

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Tuesday, February 12, 2002 (AP)
Fleet Trader: With airlines in a dive, secretive leasing firm plays a cruci=
al role
J. LYNN LUNSFORD, The Wall Street Journal


   (02-12) 07:57 PST (AP) --
   LOS ANGELES (The Wall Street Journal) -- One night late last October, mo=
re
than 30 pilots were roused by phone calls from an opulent office near
Beverly Hills and told to spirit away 19 empty jetliners from Zurich to
remote airports in the Bordeaux region of France.
   A high-stakes theft? No, just the repo men.
   The planes, although painted in the red-and-white colors of Swissair, we=
re
owned by Los Angeles-based International Lease Finance Corp., one of the
world's largest aircraft-leasing companies. The repossession order came
from the company's co-founder and top executive, Steven Udvar-Hazy, who
took the drastic step when it became apparent that Switzerland's flag
carrier had run out of money and was about to be pounced on by its
creditors.
   At the time, most people thought that Mr. Udvar-Hazy had pulled the
airplanes away from ILFC's second-largest European customer because he
simply wanted to protect hundreds of millions of dollars in assets. But
Mr. Udvar-Hazy had another motive: He wanted to send the message that ILFC
would find other homes for the planes if the Swiss government and bankers
didn't get serious about saving what had once been one of the premier
airlines in the world.
   "It got attention at the highest levels," Mr. Udvar-Hazy says of the
overnight migration. A few days later, Mr. Udvar-Hazy allowed the planes
to be returned to Switzerland after he was assured that another flag
carrier would be resurrected from the financial wreckage of Swissair.
   The incident, which drew headlines, cast a rare light on the vast, secret
world of the airplane-leasing industry. Since the terrorist attacks of
Sept. 11 sent the airline industry into a dive, ILFC and other leasing
firms have been playing a critical, behind-the-scenes role in helping to
keep the industry afloat -- and making crucial decisions about which
airlines survive and which go under.
   Once a peripheral player mainly dealing with smaller carriers and
startups, ILFC is drawing on the financial might of its parent, insurance
giant American International Group, to prop up ailing airlines with loans,
lower rents, and even purchases of underutilized planes. It uses its
unmatched buying power aggressively in negotiations with Boeing Co. and
Airbus, the two big plane manufacturers. Another critical element: its
chief's encyclopedic knowledge of who needs what around the world as he
choreographs a dizzying array of deals.
   With planes on rent to 120 different airlines, ILFC is the single-largest
customer of both Boeing and Airbus. If parked wing to wing, its fleet of
more than 500 airliners would cover an airport the size of New York La
Guardia with aluminum. It has pending orders and options for another 600
planes.
   The 55-year-old Mr. Udvar-Hazy, one of the only billionaires in the
aviation business, has for decades defied the odds in one of the world's
most volatile industries. The past few months have been especially
treacherous. Mr. Udvar-Hazy describes the period as a "rolling crisis."
   In the first weeks after Sept. 11, ILFC's offices became an emergency ro=
om
for airlines as the economic downturn roiled the United States, Canada and
parts of Europe. "We didn't know who would be next, but every day we had
customers coming in on stretchers," Mr. Udvar-Hazy says. "The one thing
they all had in common was that they needed very high levels of financial
medication."
   Since Sept. 11, ILFC and its competitors have helped to heal many of the
world's airlines. The effort has been necessary, Mr. Udvar-Hazy says,
because "you can't lease an airplane to an airline down the road if it is
out of business." In all, the leading leasing companies have made more
than $2 billion of unplanned aircraft purchases from their customers since
Sept. 11 while continuing to take deliveries of new jets from
manufacturers, according to people familiar with the transactions.
   "The leasing companies have been really solid," says Toby Bright, Boeing=
's
new chief aircraft salesman. "They have stepped up and taken their
airplanes, even when some of their lessees are going bankrupt."
   ILFC, the most creative and fastest-growing player in the leasing
industry, makes the bulk of its money by renting out airplanes for the
first five to seven years of their life at rates of between 9 percent and
12 percent of their value annually. At around five to seven years, the
companies either re-lease the airplanes or sell them on the secondary
market. Meantime, the value of the airplanes can be written down quickly,
reaping big tax benefits for the leasing company.
   In good times, a company can sell a used aircraft for as much as 85
percent of its original sticker price. Using a $100 million airplane as an
example, a leasing company can bring in as much as $84 million over the
life of a seven-year lease. If the airplane is sold used for $85 million,
the total cash generated would be $169 million, leaving the company with a
$69 million profit on the aircraft before accounting for the cost of
capital over time.
   Still, the business is riskier than it appears. ILFC places orders as far
as 10 years in advance, betting that when the time comes for delivery,
airlines will want the planes. During boom times, the early ordering pays
off, giving ILFC the ability to charge premium rates. During downturns,
though, it runs the risk that its planes will be among the first ones
airlines try to get rid of as they slash schedules and conserve cash.
   That's been the case since Sept. 11. Though ILFC won't provide details,
industry executives say that leasing companies in general have been forced
to cut their rental rates by as much as 30 percent on some models. They
are having to "bend over fiercely in terms of what they charge if they
want to keep their planes flying through this downturn," says Barbara
Beyer, president of Avmark Inc., an Arlington, Va., aviation-consulting
firm. Simultaneously, the leasing companies have postponed selling
hundreds of airplanes that were scheduled to be recycled out of their
fleets. That's because a sudden glut of used airplanes on the market has
sent resale values to their lowest levels since the early 1990s.
   Still, people familiar with the business say the leasing industry is in
better shape now than it was back in 1993, when the aggressive Irish
leasing company Guiness Peat Aviation collapsed. Lacking a big backer,
Guiness Peat was undercapitalized, highly leveraged and operated on the
assumption that it could always sell a used airplane for more money than
it paid. When the Gulf War came, lease rates suddenly tanked, and the
company crashed. Its assets were acquired by General Electric Co.'s GE
Capital Aviation Services, which, with a fleet of 1,000 airliners, is the
biggest leasing firm in the business.

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Copyright 2002 AP

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