On 12/23/2011 11:47 PM, Alan Cox wrote:
advancement. That situation will ease--the industry is saying by second
quarter, but my bet is for at least a year, maybe 16-18 months (since they
have to either dry out and refurbish flooded facilities, build new
facilities, or expand existing facilities--all real-world bricks'n'sticks
Maybe - but given a big pile of insurance money and the fact the hard
disk market is clearly going to rapidly shrink as SSD, SDHC and the like
take over would you rebuild the factory or put the money into something
else ?
I seriously wonder how many of the HD manufacturers will bother to
rebuild those plants. Mend slighty damaged ones yes, but rebuild ?
I'm now using SSD for non-critical data but with a hard disk as the
mirror and with my home dir split into two sections one on each. I guess
over time I'll move more to SSD.
The plants aren't destroyed, just mushy and dirty. I just happened to be
there the other day. Wet, yes, but for the most part everything is
intact and accounted for. Anyway, the goings on didn't stop a bunch of
Thaksinites from getting all crazy near Lumpini and having a rally while
I was there -- and having been around the place more than a little over
the last decade I'd say that's a healthy indication that there is plenty
of (local, at least) motivation to get back on track making money again.
The market will change eventually, but it is extremely early in the game
to be proclaiming the actual end of spinning disk media. We're more than
a few years away from that, so the factories will get cleaned and put
back into operation as soon as possible. I didn't make it all the way to
see how things are in Ayutthaya, but my friends tell me folks had
already barriered, bildged and were cleaning some places around there.
Pictures of water look really neat in media, I think. The reality is
nearly everybody is finding a way around the mess to carry on with life
(the busses are even still running, though it looks comical somtimes in
50cm of water, but that's not *everywhere*, actually). Farmers will have
a bumper crop next year, in any event...
--
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